Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 33

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday


	Utrera		Espeleño

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.5	7
	1.32	4.8	7.4
	1.26	5.05	8.62
				Watch
	1.31	4.75	8
	1.32	4.8	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↑ (1.3)	4.78 ↓ (4.82)	7.68 ↓ (8.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utrera
69.2%

Draw
19%

Espeleño
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.8%

18.9%

11.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.8%

18.1%

10.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utrera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Espeleño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrera than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espeleño than the current prediction. (-1%)

Utrera - Espeleño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Fernandez Marquez A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 2 - 1, Brian ⚽,
71', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Utrera is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Espeleño is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Espeleño may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Utrera is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Utrera will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Utrera won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Utrera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Utrera
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
01.05.25	Cartaya - Utrera	0:2 ✺
27.04.25	Utrera - Pozoblanco	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Inter Sevilla - Utrera	0:5 ✺
06.04.25	Utrera - Sevilla C	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Atlético Central - Utrera	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWWL
- CA Espeleño
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
01.05.25	Espeleño - San Roque de Lepe	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Bollullos - Espeleño	3:0 ✺
12.04.25	Espeleño - Atlético Onubense	1:4 ✺
06.04.25	Tomares - Espeleño	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Espeleño - Coria CF	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
22.12.24	Espeleño - Utrera	0:1
18.02.24	Utrera - Espeleño	3:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
20.12.17	Espeleño - Utrera	1:1

Utrera - Espeleño: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide