Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 32

Date: 1 May 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	WebDirecto


	Cartaya		Utrera

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	1.98
	3.45	3.15	2.04
	3.19	3.13	2.21
	3.37	3.17	2.1	Watch
	3.49	3.08	2.05
	3.45	3.15	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↓ (3.91)	3.13 ↓ (3.38)	2.07 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartaya
26.9%

Draw
29.1%

Utrera
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

26.9%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

26.6%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Utrera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Utrera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartaya than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrera than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Utrera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cartaya - Utrera Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Utrera (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Utrera (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Fernandez Marquez A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 0 - 2, Alonso M. ⚽,
83', Novoa D. 🟥,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Play Offs: )).

Cartaya is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Utrera is in a super good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins - 3).

In this match, Utrera is a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cartaya won 1 matches, drew 1 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6 (average 0.6:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams, Cartaya won 1 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 matches, and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Cartaya
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
27.04.25	San Roque de Lepe - Cartaya	2:0 ✺
11.04.25	Cartaya - Bollullos	2:3 ✺
05.04.25	Atlético Onubense - Cartaya	3:0 ✺
30.03.25	Cartaya - Tomares	2:2 ✺
23.03.25	Coria CF - Cartaya	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL
- CD Utrera
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
27.04.25	Utrera - Pozoblanco	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Inter Sevilla - Utrera	0:5 ✺
06.04.25	Utrera - Sevilla C	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Atlético Central - Utrera	1:0 ✺
23.03.25	Utrera - Puente Genil	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
15.12.24	Utrera - Cartaya	2:0
28.03.24	Cartaya - Utrera	1:0
12.11.23	Utrera - Cartaya	2:1
09.04.22	Utrera - Cartaya	0:0
08.12.21	Cartaya - Utrera	1:2

Cartaya - Utrera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide