Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 34

Date: 5 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio de La Condomina (Murcia)


	UCAM Murcia		Vélez

	1	X	2
	1.25	5	9.25
	1.24	5.27	10.1
	1.26	5	9.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.54)	5.09 ↑ (3.47)	9.65 ↑ (6.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCAM Murcia
72.7%

Draw
17.9%

Vélez
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

26.7%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

26.6%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UCAM Murcia's performance.

Vélez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UCAM Murcia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (5 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Urzain F. ⚽,
11', 2 - 0, Santisteban D. ⚽,
23', 3 - 0, Raigal J. ⚽,
37', 4 - 0, Garcia J. ⚽,
44', 5 - 0, El Abdaoui Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
47', 6 - 0, Callejon F. ⚽,
62', 7 - 0, Rodriguez A. ⚽,
80', 8 - 0, Garcia T. ⚽,
87', 9 - 0, Garcia T. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Vélez is Relegated to

Recent matches UCAM Murcia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vélez has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match UCAM Murcia is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches UCAM Murcia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams UCAM Murcia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
28.04.24	Sevilla B - UCAM Murcia	1:1 ✺
21.04.24	UCAM Murcia - San Roque de Lepe	2:0 ✺
14.04.24	Racing Cartagena MM - UCAM Murcia	2:1 ✺
07.04.24	UCAM Murcia - Linense	1:1 ✺
31.03.24	Cadiz CF B - UCAM Murcia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWLTW
- Vélez CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
28.04.24	Vélez - Marbella	2:6 ✺
21.04.24	Vélez - Sevilla B	0:1 ✺
14.04.24	San Roque de Lepe - Vélez	1:0 ✺
07.04.24	Vélez - Racing Cartagena MM	0:1 ✺
31.03.24	Linense - Vélez	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
07.01.24	Vélez - UCAM Murcia	3:1
05.02.23	UCAM Murcia - Vélez	4:0
18.09.22	Vélez - UCAM Murcia	1:0

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