Match Info
Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 20Date: 25 January 2026, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Spain | WebDirecto |
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Xerez Deportivo |
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UCAM Murcia |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.25 |
2.72 |
2.28 |
|
 |
3.62 |
2.83 |
2.27 |
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 |
3.58 |
2.7 |
2.29 |
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 |
3.3 |
2.63 |
2.3 |
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 |
3.5 |
2.72 |
2.24 |
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 |
3.6 |
2.75 |
2.22 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.48 ↑
(3) |
2.73 ↓
(2.93) |
2.27 ↓
(2.33) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Xerez Deportivo
26.3% | Draw
33.5% | UCAM Murcia
40.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Xerez Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xerez Deportivo than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-2%)Xerez Deportivo - UCAM Murcia Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 56', 0 - 1, Soto A. ⚽,
- 67', 0 - 2, Aquino D. ⚽,
- 83', 1 - 2, Beni ⚽,
Preview
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.Recently, UCAM Murcia has had a series of home games. UCAM Murcia will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Xerez Deportivo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 2:12. (average 0.4:2.4).Including home matches between the teams, Xerez Deportivo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
Last Results with these Odds
Xerez Deportivo - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 30.2%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 | | | 12.10.25 | UCAM Murcia - Xerez Deportivo | 2:1 | | 04.05.25 | UCAM Murcia - Xerez Deportivo | 3:0 | | 22.12.24 | Xerez Deportivo - UCAM Murcia | 0:2 | | 29.01.23 | Xerez Deportivo - UCAM Murcia | 1:2 | | 11.09.22 | UCAM Murcia - Xerez Deportivo | 3:0 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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