Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 34

Date: 14 May 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Utrera		Vélez

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.6	1.6
	4.75	3.5	1.62
	4.68	4.42	1.58
	6.25	4.5	1.42
	5	3.9	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.04 ↑ (3.17)	3.98 ↑ (3.1)	1.56 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utrera
18.2%

Draw
23%

Vélez
58.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.7%

29.4%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

28.4%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utrera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Utrera's form might have worsened.

Vélez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vélez's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrera than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Utrera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez than the current prediction. (-15%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vélez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	12.5%	75%

Utrera - Vélez Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Utrera will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Vélez will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Utrera has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Vélez is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Vélez is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Vélez to win the game is with odds 1.58.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Utrera won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Utrera
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
07.05.23	Cadiz CF B - Utrera	2:1 ✺
30.04.23	Xerez Deportivo - Utrera	2:1 ✺
23.04.23	Utrera - Atlético Sanluqueño	1:2 ✺
16.04.23	Sevilla B - Utrera	2:0 ✺
09.04.23	Utrera - Betis B	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Vélez CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
07.05.23	Vélez - Xerez Deportivo	1:1 ✺
30.04.23	Sevilla B - Vélez	2:1 ✺
23.04.23	Vélez - Recreativo Huelva	1:2 ✺
16.04.23	Racing Cartagena MM - Vélez	1:3 ✺
08.04.23	Vélez - Cartagena B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
15.01.23	Vélez - Utrera	2:1

Utrera - Vélez