Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 10 - ROUND 16

Date: 23 December 2023, Saturday


	Xerez Deportivo		Utrera

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.3
	2	3.2	3.5
	1.98	3.05	3.94
	1.83	2.94	3.94
	1.95	3.22	3.6
	2	3.2	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.79)	3.12 ↓ (3.42)	3.63 ↓ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xerez Deportivo
46.1%

Draw
29%

Utrera
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

26.5%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

25.7%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xerez Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Utrera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xerez Deportivo than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Xerez Deportivo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utrera than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

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Preview

Xerez Deportivo in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Utrera is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Utrera have a series of home games.

Xerez Deportivo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Xerez Deportivo won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Xerez Deportivo won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xerez Deportivo FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
17.12.23	Conil - Xerez Deportivo	0:1 ✺
06.12.23	Xerez Deportivo - Cartaya	2:0 ✺
02.12.23	Cabecense - Xerez Deportivo	0:4 ✺
26.11.23	Xerez Deportivo - Ceuta B	1:1 ✺
19.11.23	Xerez CD - Xerez Deportivo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WWWTW
- CD Utrera
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
17.12.23	Utrera - Bollullos	1:1 ✺
03.12.23	Utrera - Pozoblanco	0:2 ✺
26.11.23	Utrera - Sevilla C	2:0 ✺
18.11.23	Conil - Utrera	2:4 ✺
12.11.23	Utrera - Cartaya	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
30.04.23	Xerez Deportivo - Utrera	2:1
17.12.22	Utrera - Xerez Deportivo	0:2
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
20.10.19	Xerez Deportivo - Utrera	0:0
07.01.19	Xerez Deportivo - Utrera	2:0
01.09.18	Utrera - Xerez Deportivo	2:0

Xerez Deportivo - Utrera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide