Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 25

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday


	Uxbridge		Chertsey Town

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.35	2.28
	2.75	3.65	2.31	Watch
	2.62	3.38	2.3
	2.8	3.25	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (2.8)	3.41 ↓ (3.71)	2.31 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uxbridge
33.7%

Draw
26.8%

Chertsey Town
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

25%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

23.9%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uxbridge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Chertsey Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uxbridge than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chertsey Town than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Uxbridge - Chertsey Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
72', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 7).

Uxbridge is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Chertsey is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Uxbridge won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1.5:3).

Including home match between the teams, Uxbridge won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Uxbridge	9	6	2	1	19:8	11	20
7	Chertsey	9	4	2	3	20:15	5	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uxbridge
English Southern League South Division
27.12.25	Hanwell Town - Uxbridge	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Uxbridge - Bracknell Town	2:3 ✺
13.12.25	Poole Town - Uxbridge	3:1 ✺
06.12.25	Uxbridge - Walton & Hersham	2:3 ✺
29.11.25	Weymouth - Uxbridge	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLLLT
- Chertsey Town
English Southern League South Division
27.12.25	Chertsey Town - Walton & Hersham	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Berkhamsted - Chertsey Town	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Hungerford Town - Chertsey Town	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	Chertsey Town - Weymouth	4:0 ✺
29.11.25	Chertsey Town - Plymouth Parkway	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
25.08.25	Chertsey Town - Uxbridge	3:3
English FA Trophy
26.10.24	Uxbridge - Chertsey Town	0:3

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