Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 8

Date: 22 September 2026, Tuesday


	Hanwell Town		Uxbridge

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.45
	2.51	3.19	2.55
	2.6	3.54	2.49	Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.5
	2.48	3.24	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.45)	3.25 ↓ (3.43)	2.49 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hanwell Town
36.1%

Draw
27.7%

Uxbridge
36.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.6%

26.2%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

26.6%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hanwell Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Uxbridge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hanwell Town than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uxbridge than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Hanwell Town - Uxbridge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting the league leader (ranked 20th in the Relegation and 1st in the Promotion ~ National League South).

Hanwell Town is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Uxbridge is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Hanwell Town could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Hanwell Town has faced a series of away games on the road.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Hanwell Town has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:3 (averaging 0.5:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Hanwell Town against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Uxbridge	11	8	2	1	23:8	15	26
18	Hanwell Town	11	2	5	4	10:14	-4	11

Outrights of English Southern League South Division for now

Uxbridge: 7.55% Hanwell Town: 0.38%

Last Results with these Odds

Hanwell Town - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 36.6%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hanwell Town
English Southern League South Division
12.09.26	Frome Town - Hanwell Town	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
04.09.26	Flackwell Heath - Hanwell Town	0:1 ✺
English Southern League South Division
31.08.26	Berkhamsted - Hanwell Town	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Hanwell Town - Chichester City	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Gloucester City - Hanwell Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWLLL
- Uxbridge
English Southern League South Division
15.09.26	Berkhamsted - Uxbridge	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Uxbridge - Chichester City	5:0 ✺
31.08.26	Uxbridge - Wimborne Town	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Bath City - Uxbridge	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Uxbridge - Taunton Town	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
06.04.26	Uxbridge - Hanwell Town	2:0
27.12.25	Hanwell Town - Uxbridge	1:1

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