Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 7

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday


	Uxbridge		Chichester City

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.50	3.10
	1.95	3.45	3.15
	1.99	3.60	3.22
	2	3.8	3.26	Watch
	1.97	3.55	3.15
	1.96	3.56	3.22
	1.97	3.60	3.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 (1.97)	3.58 ↓ (3.7)	3.19 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uxbridge
46.1%

Draw
25.4%

Chichester City
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

24.9%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

23.6%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uxbridge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

The chances for Chichester City have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uxbridge than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chichester City than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Uxbridge - Chichester City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Massey A. ⚽,
43', 2 - 0, Moore G. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
54', 3 - 0, Allsopp E. ⚽,
58', 4 - 0, Amartey F. ⚽,
67', 5 - 0, Moore G. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Uxbridge will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Outrights of English Southern League South Division for now

Uxbridge: 5.61%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Uxbridge	9	6	2	1	19:8	11	20
9	Chichester	9	4	1	4	14:16	-2	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uxbridge
English Southern League South Division
31.08.26	Uxbridge - Wimborne Town	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Bath City - Uxbridge	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Uxbridge - Taunton Town	5:4 ✺
15.08.26	Gosport Borough - Uxbridge	1:1 ✺
11.08.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Uxbridge	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 TWWTW
- Chichester City
English Southern League South Division
31.08.26	Chichester City - Havant & Waterlooville	3:2 ✺
29.08.26	Hanwell Town - Chichester City	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Chichester City - Chippenham Town	4:0 ✺
15.08.26	Evesham United - Chichester City	3:0 ✺
11.08.26	Wimborne Town - Chichester City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWWLW

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