Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 11

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Yate Town		Berkhamsted

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.20	2.37
	2.55	3.20	2.38
	2.79	3.15	2.41
	2.65	3.44	2.5	Watch
	2.75	3.10	2.35
	2.67	3.16	2.32
	2.60	3.30	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.58)	3.22 ↓ (3.4)	2.39 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yate Town
34.1%

Draw
28.1%

Berkhamsted
37.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.9%

26.4%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

26.7%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Berkhamsted has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yate Town than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Berkhamsted than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Yate Town - Berkhamsted Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
56', 0 - 1, Sekyere J. ⚽,
73', 0 - 2, German R. ⚽,
87', 0 - 3, Busari B. ⚽,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14th and 11th).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Yate has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:1 (averaging 0.5:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Yate against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 0:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Berkhamsted	13	5	2	6	16:18	-2	17
15	Yate Town	13	3	5	5	16:25	-9	14

Last Results with these Odds

Berkhamsted - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 38.66%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yate Town
English Southern League South Division
03.10.26	Yate Town - Frome Town	3:3 ✺
29.09.26	Wimborne Town - Yate Town	4:0 ✺
English FA Cup
22.09.26	Chippenham Town - Yate Town	2:1 AET ✺
18.09.26	Yate Town - Chippenham Town	0:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
12.09.26	Hanworth Villa - Yate Town	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TLLTW
- Berkhamsted FC
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Redditch United - Berkhamsted	0:2 ✺
English Southern League South Division
29.09.26	Sholing - Berkhamsted	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Berkhamsted - Hanworth Villa	1:2 ✺
15.09.26	Berkhamsted - Uxbridge	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Evesham United - Berkhamsted	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
31.01.26	Berkhamsted - Yate Town	1:1
11.10.25	Yate Town - Berkhamsted	0:0

Yate Town - Berkhamsted