Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 9

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Southern League Premier South 🌤️ ...


	Wimborne Town		Yate Town

	1	X	2
	2	3.15	3.25
	1.97	3.22	3.63
	2.1	3.4	3.34	Watch
	1.95	3.15	3.55
	2.07	3.78	3.32
	2.04	3.25	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.06)	3.33 ↓ (3.43)	3.4 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wimborne Town
45.4%

Draw
27.6%

Yate Town
27%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.9%

26.3%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

26%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wimborne Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Yate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wimborne Town than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yate Town than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Wimborne Town - Yate Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Munn C. ⚽,
31', 2 - 0, Walker B. ⚽,
37', 3 - 0, Fletcher W. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 4 - 0, Williams L. ⚽,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 15th and 12th).

Wimborne is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Yate has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Yate could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Wimborne holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Wimborne has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 7:7 (averaging 1.4:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Wimborne against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 6:6 goals (averaging 2:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Wimborne	11	5	3	3	20:9	11	18
15	Yate Town	12	3	4	5	16:25	-9	13

Last Results with these Odds

Wimborne Town - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 43.85%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wimborne Town
English FA Trophy
26.09.26	Moneyfields - Wimborne Town	1:3 ✺
English FA Cup
19.09.26	Weston-super-Mare - Wimborne Town	1:1 ✺
English Southern League South Division
12.09.26	Wimborne Town - Bracknell Town	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Uxbridge - Wimborne Town	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Wimborne Town - Hanworth Villa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WTWTT
- Yate Town
English FA Cup
22.09.26	Chippenham Town - Yate Town	2:1 AET ✺
18.09.26	Yate Town - Chippenham Town	0:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
12.09.26	Hanworth Villa - Yate Town	2:3 ✺
31.08.26	Yate Town - Taunton Town	1:4 ✺
29.08.26	Poole Town - Yate Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
07.03.26	Yate Town - Wimborne Town	1:1
14.10.25	Wimborne Town - Yate Town	4:1
08.03.22	Wimborne Town - Yate Town	0:5
17.08.21	Yate Town - Wimborne Town	0:0
02.11.19	Wimborne Town - Yate Town	2:0

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