Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 21

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Finnvedsvallen (Varnamo)

Referee: Olofsson T. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	HBO Max, Veikkaus TV
Italy	Amazon Prime Video
Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 6, TV4 Play


	Värnamo		Häcken

	1	X	2
	3.2	4	2	Watch
	2.9	3.6	2.2
	3.1	3.85	2.05	Watch
	3.27	3.95	2.08
	6.14	4.81	1.44	Watch
	3	3.5	2.15
	3.11	3.8	2.14	Watch
	2.7	4	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↑ (2.7)	3.94 ↓ (4)	2.03 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Värnamo
28.1%

Draw
24.5%

Häcken
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

23.2%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

22.6%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Värnamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Värnamo's form might have worsened.

Häcken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Värnamo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Häcken than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.8%	29.2%	50%

Värnamo - Häcken Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Värnamo will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%). Häcken will win (votes: 12 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 29.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Häcken: 30% – 70%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Värnamo (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Häcken (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Värnamo (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Värnamo (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Häcken (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Keto H. (G) 2. Rapp J. 6. Andersson H. 24. Grozdanic E. 3. Bjornstrom A. 8. Liimatta O. 11. Antonsen K. 9. Meriluoto K. 25. Shamoun N. 14. Antonsson M. (C) 10. Zeljkovic A.	99. Berisha E. (C) 11. Lindberg J. 44. Hilvenius H. 23. Samuelsson O. 13. Jansson S. 15. Leach S. 8. Andersen S. 16. Dahbo P. 39. Brusberg I. 18. Al Saed D. 19. Dembe J.
Substitutes
21. Abdulrazak I. 18. Alsalkhadi M. 15. Cibicki P. 7. Johansson C. 16. Kujundzic A. 5. Larsson V. 22. Thern S. 31. Tihic A. (G) 20. Winsth F.	14. Gustafson S. 24. Layouni A. 1. Linde A. (G) 4. Lode M. 21. Lundkvist A. 7. Ngabo S. 29. Nioule S. 10. Rygaard M. 20. Svanback A.
Coaches
Sandsto A.	Gustafsson J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Andersen S. ⚽, Leach S. (A),
17', Leach S. 🟨,
26', 0 - 2, Brusberg I. ⚽, Al Saed D. (A),
28', 1 - 2, Shamoun N. ⚽, Zeljkovic A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Brusberg I. ↓, Svanback A. ↑,
46', Dahbo P. ↓, Gustafson S. ↑,
54', 1 - 3, Dembe J. ⚽,
59', Samuelsson O. ↓, Lode M. ↑,
62', Al Saed D. ↓, Nioule S. ↑,
71', Antonsen K. ↓, Kujundzic A. ↑,
72', Zeljkovic A. ↓, Johansson C. ↑,
80', Shamoun N. ↓, Larsson V. ↑,
80', Liimatta O. ↓, Cibicki P. ↑,
80', 1 - 4, Svanback A. ⚽, Nioule S. (A),
87', Kujundzic A. 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 5, Svanback A. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Värnamo won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Häcken may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Värnamo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:19. (average 0.8:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Värnamo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Värnamo
Swedish Allsvenskan
18.08.25	Värnamo - Degerfors	3:2 ✺
11.08.25	Elfsborg - Värnamo	2:2 ✺
02.08.25	Värnamo - GAIS	2:2 ✺
27.07.25	Värnamo - Hammarby	2:3 ✺
21.07.25	Norrköping - Värnamo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WTTLL
- BK Häcken
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.08.25	Häcken - CFR Cluj	7:2 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
17.08.25	Häcken - Öster	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
14.08.25	Brann - Häcken	0:1 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
10.08.25	Degerfors - Häcken	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
07.08.25	Häcken - Brann	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
18.05.25	Häcken - Värnamo	2:0
25.08.24	Häcken - Värnamo	1:1
20.07.24	Värnamo - Häcken	2:2
22.07.23	Värnamo - Häcken	1:0
29.04.23	Häcken - Värnamo	3:1
27.08.22	Häcken - Värnamo	4:1
09.05.22	Värnamo - Häcken	1:2

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