Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 24

Date: 22 September 2025, Monday

Location: Finnvedsvallen (Varnamo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	HBO Max, Veikkaus TV
Italy	Amazon Prime Video
Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 2, TV4 Play


	Värnamo		Halmstad

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.6	3	Watch
	2.22	3.45	3
	2.25	3.6	3.02
	2.29	3.62	2.85	Watch
	2.25	3.62	2.88	Watch
	2.03	3.5	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.06)	3.57 ↓ (3.6)	3.01 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Värnamo
42.7%

Draw
26.2%

Halmstad
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

25.7%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

24.1%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Värnamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Halmstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Halmstad than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.8%	28.6%	47.6%

Värnamo - Halmstad Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Värnamo will win (votes: 5 - 25%). Halmstad will win (votes: 10 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Halmstad: 28.1% – 71.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Halmstad (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Halmstad (5.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Halmstad will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Halmstad (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Keto H. (G) 5. Larsson V. 4. Mohammed R. 24. Grozdanic E. 3. Bjornstrom A. 25. Shamoun N. 11. Antonsen K. 8. Liimatta O. 18. Alsalkhadi M. 14. Antonsson M. (C) 9. Meriluoto K.	12. Erlandsson T. (G) 5. Gregor P. 4. Schyberg F. 2. Kurtulus B. 17. Boman A. 6. Allansson J. (C) 27. Ascone R. 24. Kaib R. 11. Granath V. 99. Yeboah E. 8. Maenpaa N.
Substitutes
21. Abdulrazak I. 6. Andersson H. 27. Coulibaly S. 7. Johansson C. 2. Rapp J. 22. Thern S. 40. Tihic A. (G) 20. Winsth F. 10. Zeljkovic A.	29. Arvidsson L. 25. Damnjanovic A. 13. Eyjolfsson G. 33. Kapsimalis O. 18. Mohammed N. 21. Olsson M. 28. Persson M. 1. Ronning T. (G) 3. Wallentin G.
Coaches
Sandsto A.	Lindholm J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Shamoun N. 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Zeljkovic A. ⚽, Meriluoto K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Maenpaa N. ↓, Mohammed N. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Granath V. ⚽, Mohammed N. (A),
59', 1 - 2, Larsson V. (Own goal),
64', Shamoun N. ↓, Johansson C. ↑,
74', 🟨,
77', Yeboah E. ↓, Persson M. ↑,
81', Alsalkhadi M. ↓, Thern S. ↑,
90', Kaib R. ↓, Wallentin G. ↑,
90+1', Ascone R. ↓, Eyjolfsson G. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 14 in the zone Allsvenskan (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Värnamo won 0.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Värnamo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Värnamo: Kujundzic A. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Halmstad: Damnjanovic A. (Injury) Friberg G. (Knee Injury) Turgott B. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Halmstad: Persson M. (Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Värnamo won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:27. (average 1.2:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Värnamo won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.7:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Värnamo
Swedish Allsvenskan
14.09.25	Öster - Värnamo	4:3 ✺
30.08.25	IFK Göteborg - Värnamo	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Värnamo - Häcken	1:5 ✺
18.08.25	Värnamo - Degerfors	3:2 ✺
11.08.25	Elfsborg - Värnamo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLLWT
- Halmstads BK
Swedish Allsvenskan
13.09.25	Halmstad - Norrköping	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Mjällby - Halmstad	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Elfsborg - Halmstad	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Halmstad - Malmö	0:4 ✺
09.08.25	Halmstad - Sirius	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
03.05.25	Halmstad - Värnamo	4:2
27.07.24	Halmstad - Värnamo	1:0
28.04.24	Värnamo - Halmstad	1:3
Svenska Cupen
02.03.24	Värnamo - Halmstad	0:1
Swedish Allsvenskan
27.08.23	Värnamo - Halmstad	0:0
15.07.23	Halmstad - Värnamo	2:2
Club Friendly
18.03.23	Halmstad - Värnamo	1:1

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