Match Info

Superettan - Round 11

Date: 9 June 2026, Tuesday

Location: Visma Arena (Växjö)

Referee: Oppong F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen


	Öster		Värnamo

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.50	3.25	Watch
	2.00	3.50	3.20
	1.90	3.60	3.50
	2.05	3.84	3.46
	2.02	3.57	3.47	Watch
	2.00	3.40	3.20
	1.98	3.68	3.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.29)	3.58 ↑ (3.43)	3.35 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Öster
46.6%

Draw
25.8%

Värnamo
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

27.1%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

26.4%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Öster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Öster's performance.

Värnamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Öster than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Öster that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Värnamo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Öster - Värnamo Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Öster will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Värnamo will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Öster: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lundahl C. (G) 16. Adjei R. 5. Adolfsson M. 4. Starke S. (C) 14. Olsson D. 8. Ask D. 17. Bladh Pijaca H. 29. Wendt K. 10. Uddenas O. 9. Carlstrand L. 23. Burakovsky S.	1. Keto H. (G) 2. Rapp J. 5. Bergqvist D. 6. Andersson H. 3. Bjornstrom A. 16. Kujundzic A. 23. Robertsson L. 17. Bozicevic F. 7. Johansson C. 14. Antonsson M. (C) 9. Meriluoto K.
Substitutes
22. Ganovic N. 3. Gyamfi K. 33. Hartmann M. (G) 20. Jatta M. 18. Njie M. 11. Olsson F. 24. Shakir A. 6. Soderberg N. 19. Tamminen M.	21. Abdulrazak I. 35. Blaca I. 15. Coulibaly S. 19. Freij E. 13. Jansson S. 24. Kamara M. 39. Sapielak B. (G) 11. Shamoun N. 34. Zulovic B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Carlstrand L. ⚽, Ask D. (A),
16', 2 - 0, Carlstrand L. ⚽, Olsson D. (A),
29', 3 - 0, Wendt K. ⚽, Ask D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Wendt K. ↓, Soderberg N. ↑,
63', Kujundzic A. ↓, Shamoun N. ↑,
65', Robertsson L. 🟨,
72', Rapp J. 🟨,
73', Uddenas O. ↓, Tamminen M. ↑,
73', Carlstrand L. ↓, Olsson F. ↑,
77', Bozicevic F. ↓, Zulovic B. ↑,
77', Robertsson L. ↓, Abdulrazak I. ↑,
88', Meriluoto K. ↓, Kamara M. ↑,
88', Johansson C. ↓, Freij E. ↑,
90+1', Burakovsky S. ↓, Njie M. ↑,
90+1', Adjei R. ↓, Gyamfi K. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 14 in the zone Division 1 ~ Norra (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Öster won 3.

Öster has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Värnamo is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Öster will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Öster won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Öster won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Oster	25	11	3	11	38:38	0	36
11	Varnamo	25	8	5	12	33:45	-12	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Östers IF
Swedish Superettan
30.05.26	Öster - Norrby	2:1 ✺
25.05.26	Norrköping - Öster	2:0 ✺
17.05.26	Öster - Ljungskile	1:4 ✺
13.05.26	Öster - Sandviken	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	United Nordic - Öster	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLWL
- IFK Värnamo
Swedish Superettan
31.05.26	Värnamo - United Nordic	0:2 ✺
23.05.26	Falkenberg - Värnamo	3:1 ✺
17.05.26	Värnamo - Norrby	2:2 ✺
12.05.26	Värnamo - Örebro	0:1 ✺
08.05.26	Varbergs BoIS - Värnamo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
14.09.25	Öster - Värnamo	4:3
24.05.25	Värnamo - Öster	1:1
Swedish Superettan
12.09.21	Öster - Värnamo	2:0
17.07.21	Värnamo - Öster	2:0
Club Friendly
07.02.20	Öster - Värnamo	1:0
Swedish Superettan
27.08.18	Värnamo - Öster	1:0
13.05.18	Öster - Värnamo	0:0

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