Match Info

Superettan - Round 20

Date: 24 August 2026, Monday

Location: Finnvedsvallen (Varnamo)

Referee: Karlsson N. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Värnamo		Landskrona

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	2.7
	2.25	3.30	2.75
	2.18	3.4	3
	2.41	3.34	3.11
	2.31	3.42	2.95	Watch
	2.35	3.2	3.05
	2.41	3.34	2.82	Watch
	2.27	3.35	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.2)	3.32 ↓ (3.46)	2.9 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Värnamo
40.1%

Draw
27.9%

Landskrona
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

26.9%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

26.2%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Värnamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Landskrona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Landskrona than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Värnamo - Landskrona Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Värnamo will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Landskrona will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Värnamo: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Keto H. (G) 18. Motaraghebjafarpour A. 2. Rapp J. 6. Andersson H. 4. Ohlsson S. 8. Andersson H. 7. Johansson C. 10. Claesson V. (C) 3. Bjornstrom A. 14. Antonsson M. 9. Meriluoto K.	1. Kaddoura A. (C) 4. Bruzelius G. 26. Murbeck A. 6. Karlsson T. 3. Weststrom G. 23. Loukili Z. 18. Perez A. 5. Egnell A. 21. Jensen K. 14. Andreasen M. 10. Capotondi C.
Substitutes
33. Akinfenwa M. 17. Bozicevic F. 15. Coulibaly S. 19. Freij E. 13. Jansson S. 26. Johansson C. 16. Kujundzic A. 39. Sapielak B. (G) 34. Zulovic B.	17. Benndoff V. 11. Bjorkqvist M. 36. Hebibovic E. 28. Milosevic M. 15. Mohamed M. 12. Moungam E. 30. Pettersson M. (G) 8. Smajic A. 9. Sylisufaj E.
Coaches
Bergstrand K.	Asterhed R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Antonsson M. ⚽, Andersson H. (A),
40', Murbeck A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Loukili Z. 🟨,
60', 1 - 1, Jensen K. ⚽, Capotondi C. (A),
67', Loukili Z. ↓, Mohamed M. ↑,
70', Andersson H. ↓, Jansson S. ↑,
70', Meriluoto K. ↓, Akinfenwa M. ↑,
72', Motaraghebjafarpour A. 🟨,
78', Antonsson M. ↓, Johansson C. ↑,
82', Jensen K. ↓, Hebibovic E. ↑,
89', Johansson C. ↓, Zulovic B. ↑,
90+7', Capotondi C. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Division 1 ~ Norra (Relegation) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Värnamo won 3.

Värnamo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Landskrona has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Landskrona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Värnamo won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:28. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Värnamo won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.3:1.1).

Outrights of Swedish Superettan for now

Landskrona: 0.1%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Landskrona	25	11	7	7	39:26	13	40
11	Varnamo	25	8	5	12	33:45	-12	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Värnamo
Svenska Cupen
19.08.26	Växjö Norra - Värnamo	1:3 ✺
Swedish Superettan
16.08.26	Värnamo - Östersund	1:1 ✺
11.08.26	Helsingborg - Värnamo	1:2 ✺
03.08.26	Örebro - Värnamo	1:3 ✺
25.07.26	Värnamo - Brage	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WTWWT
- Landskrona BoIS
Svenska Cupen
20.08.26	Hässleholm - Landskrona	0:1 AET ✺
Swedish Superettan
14.08.26	Landskrona - Oddevold	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Öster - Landskrona	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Brage - Landskrona	2:1 ✺
28.07.26	Landskrona - Norrköping	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
28.06.26	Landskrona - Värnamo	1:0
Club Friendly
13.02.26	Värnamo - Landskrona	4:2
Swedish Allsvenskan
24.11.24	Värnamo - Landskrona	1:0
21.11.24	Landskrona - Värnamo	2:2
Club Friendly
28.01.23	Värnamo - Landskrona	2:1
Swedish Superettan
21.08.21	Värnamo - Landskrona	2:0
10.04.21	Landskrona - Värnamo	2:0

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