Match Info

Division 2 - Västra Götaland - Round 7

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday


	Västra Frölunda		Astrio

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.2	4.75
	1.47	4.35	5.5
	1.43	4.35	5.11
	1.49	4.41	5.34	Watch
	1.44	3.9	5.5
	1.41	4.45	5.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.72)	4.28 ↑ (3.95)	5.36 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Västra Frölunda
62%

Draw
21.1%

Astrio
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

23.1%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

22.5%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Västra Frölunda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Västra Frölunda's performance.

Astrio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Astrio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Västra Frölunda than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Västra Frölunda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astrio than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Astrio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Västra Frölunda - Astrio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Dusi L. ⚽,
7', 2 - 0, Dusi L. ⚽,
42', 2 - 1, Jashari T. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
57', 3 - 1, ⚽,
60', 3 - 2, ⚽,
70', 4 - 2, ⚽,
72', 5 - 2, ⚽,
82', 5 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Västra Frölunda won 3.

Västra Frölunda is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Astrio has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Astrio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Västra Frölunda is seen as the favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Västra Frölunda won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 2.4:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Västra Frölunda won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:7. (average 3.6:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Frolunda	24	10	7	7	45:39	6	37
14	Astrio ✔	25	2	4	19	22:58	-36	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Västra Frölunda IF
Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
01.05.26	Hestrafors - Västra Frölunda	2:4 ✺
26.04.26	Västra Frölunda - Lindome	0:2 ✺
17.04.26	Qviding - Västra Frölunda	2:3 ✺
12.04.26	Västra Frölunda - Galtabäcks	3:2 ✺
03.04.26	Onsala - Västra Frölunda	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLWWT
- BK Astrio
Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
03.05.26	Astrio - Qviding	0:3 ✺
26.04.26	Torslanda - Astrio	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Hestrafors - Astrio	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Astrio - Jonsereds	0:1 ✺
05.04.26	Astrio - Kongahälla	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
27.09.25	Västra Frölunda - Astrio	5:1
06.06.25	Astrio - Västra Frölunda	1:1
06.10.24	Astrio - Västra Frölunda	5:1
20.06.24	Västra Frölunda - Astrio	4:3
23.09.23	Västra Frölunda - Astrio	1:0
03.06.23	Astrio - Västra Frölunda	0:1
17.09.22	Astrio - Västra Frölunda	4:0

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