Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-ligaen - Round 26

Date: 2 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Intility Arena (Oslo)

Referee: Tennoy M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	Direkte Sport, TV2 Play


	Vålerenga		Mjøndalen

	1	X	2
	1.3	6	7.5	Watch
	1.29	5.5	8
	1.3	5.5	9	Watch
	1.29	6.06	8.59
	1.32	5.61	7.76	Watch
	1.25	5.5	8
	1.3	5.75	8.35	Watch
	1.3	5.5	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↑ (1.23)	5.68 ↓ (6.49)	8.28 ↓ (9.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vålerenga
72.2%

Draw
16.5%

Mjøndalen
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.9%

14.4%

9.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vålerenga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Mjøndalen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.4%	0%	5.6%

Vålerenga - Mjøndalen Predictions

Users Predictions: Vålerenga will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Sjoeng M. (G) 2. Borchgrevink C. (C) 3. Kjelsen A. 55. Jarl S. 6. Hedenstad V. 24. Strand P. 15. Hagen E. 17. Lange C. 25. El Abdellaoui J. 9. Rijks M. 26. Thorvaldsen F.	1. Kinn T. (G) 2. Eriksen S. 8. Sveen O. 5. Overby S. 6. Solberg J. (C) 7. Ovenstad M. 23. Skau J. 14. Semmen N. 9. Bringaker M. 24. Pedersen M. 45. Olsen M.
Substitutes
29. Ambina F. 8. Bjordal H. 80. Brajanac M. 5. Fasika I. 18. Jukleroed S. 19. Kamara O. 4. Olsen A. 22. Sjovold S. 1. Storevik J. (G)	18. Arsbog N. 19. Brenden E. 20. Conteh A. 13. Fagereng A. (G) 22. Holst-Larsen F. 26. Lukic A. 15. Reutersward L. 27. Tokstad K. 3. Welinder M.
Coaches
Bakke G.	Nicol K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, El Abdellaoui J. ⚽, Lange C. (A),
28', 2 - 0, Lange C. ⚽, El Abdellaoui J. (A),
36', 3 - 0, Rijks M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Strand P. ↓, Bjordal H. ↑,
50', 3 - 1, Sveen O. ⚽,
62', Ovenstad M. ↓, Brenden E. ↑,
62', Bringaker M. ↓, Conteh A. ↑,
62', Semmen N. ↓, Tokstad K. ↑,
64', El Abdellaoui J. ↓, Kamara O. ↑,
64', Lange C. ↓, Ambina F. ↑,
64', Hedenstad V. ↓, Jukleroed S. ↑,
67', 3 - 2, Sveen O. ⚽,
75', 4 - 2, Borchgrevink C. ⚽,
80', Skau J. ↓, Lukic A. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vålerenga won 3.

Vålerenga is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mjøndalen is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mjøndalen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Vålerenga is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Vålerenga won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21:14 (average 1.8:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Vålerenga won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:5 (average 2.4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vålerenga Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
28.09.24	Kongsvinger - Vålerenga	2:2 ✺
24.09.24	Vålerenga - Aalesunds	4:1 ✺
21.09.24	Bryne - Vålerenga	1:1 ✺
16.09.24	Vålerenga - Åsane	5:0 ✺
01.09.24	Sandnes Ulf - Vålerenga	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TWTWW
- Mjøndalen IF
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
28.09.24	Aalesunds - Mjøndalen	0:1 ✺
25.09.24	Mjøndalen - Kongsvinger	1:2 ✺
21.09.24	Åsane - Mjøndalen	5:0 ✺
16.09.24	Mjøndalen - Bryne	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Moss - Mjøndalen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
28.04.24	Mjøndalen - Vålerenga	5:3
Norwegian Eliteserien
05.12.21	Vålerenga - Mjøndalen	2:0
24.05.21	Mjøndalen - Vålerenga	1:1
03.10.20	Vålerenga - Mjøndalen	4:1
12.07.20	Mjøndalen - Vålerenga	0:1
Club Friendly
04.06.20	Mjøndalen - Vålerenga	0:2
25.01.20	Mjøndalen - Vålerenga	2:1

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