Match Info

Reserve League - Clausura - Round 7

Date: 28 August 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Vélez Sársfield 2		Lanús 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	3.75	4.8
	1.55	3.55	5.35
	1.59	3.9	6.75
	1.57	3.77	5.57	Watch
	1.56	3.64	5.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.72)	3.72 ↑ (3.08)	5.59 ↑ (5.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vélez Sársfield 2
58.8%

Draw
24.7%

Lanús 2
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

29.5%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

28.6%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vélez Sársfield 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vélez Sársfield 2's performance.

Lanús 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield 2 than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús 2 than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Vélez Sársfield 2 - Lanús 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', 0 - 1, Gonzalez A. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 14).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Vélez 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Vélez 2 is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vélez 2 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:5. (average 3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Vélez 2 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 2.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vélez Sársfield 2
Argentinian Reserve League
20.08.25	Godoy Cruz 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	2:0 ✺
14.08.25	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Independiente 2	0:1 ✺
08.08.25	San Lorenzo 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:0 ✺
03.08.25	Ferro 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	2:2 ✺
30.07.25	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Instituto 2	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTT
- Lanús 2
Argentinian Reserve League
22.08.25	Lanús 2 - River Plate 2	0:0 ✺
13.08.25	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Lanús 2	2:0 ✺
07.08.25	Lanús 2 - Talleres de Córdoba 2	1:0 ✺
29.07.25	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Lanús 2	1:0 ✺
22.07.25	Lanús 2 - Rosario Central 2	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
01.04.25	Lanús 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:4
30.06.24	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Lanús 2	1:0 penalties
04.07.23	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Lanús 2	2:0
20.07.22	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Lanús 2	6:1
31.03.22	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Lanús 2	2:3

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