Match Info
J1 League - Round 5Date: 2 September 2026, WednesdayLocation: Peace Stadium (Nagasaki)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Laola1 |
 Germany | Laola1 |
 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
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V-Varen Nagasaki |
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Gamba Osaka |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
V-Varen Nagasaki
33.8% | Draw
28.8% | Gamba Osaka
37.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
V-Varen Nagasaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in V-Varen Nagasaki's performance.Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gamba Osaka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with V-Varen Nagasaki that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gamba Osaka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - V-Varen Nagasaki (1.96) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Gamba Osaka will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. V-Varen Nagasaki (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
1.  Goto M. (G)
31. Doi K.
50. Shindo R.
22. Onaga H.
3. Sekiguchi M.
5. Yamaguchi H. (C)
24. Yamada R.
17. Takahata K.
41. Hasegawa M.
8. Iwasaki Y.
9.  Thiago
| 22. Ichimori J. (G)
19. Ikegaya G.
4. Nakatani S. (C)
67. Sasaki S.
21. Hatsuse R.
16. Suzuki T.
13. Abe S.
20.  Adams E.
10. Kurata S.
8. Meshino R.
37. Nakatsumi N.
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| Substitutes |
11.  Campbell N.
21. Diego Pituca
6. Egawa Y.
13. Hatano G. (G)
39. Kou R.
10. Matheus Jesus
19. Sawada T.
7. Yasuda K.
23. Yoneda S.
| 18. Araki R. (G)
48. Fujimoto Y.
2. Fukuoka S.
23.  Hummet D.
11.  Jebali I.
47. Nakano S.
60. Okamoto A.
35. Tono T.
32. Yoshihara Y.
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| Coaches |
Takagi T.
| Myojin T.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 36', Hatsuse R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Takahata K. ↓, Yoneda S. ↑,
- 46', Kurata S. ↓, Jebali I. ↑,
- 46', Nakatsumi N. ↓, Hummet D. ↑,
- 50', Sekiguchi M. ↓, Matheus Jesus ↑,
- 61', Yamaguchi H. 🟨,
- 66', Doi K. 🟨,
- 66', Thiago ↓, Yasuda K. ↑,
- 66', Yamada R. ↓, Diego Pituca ↑,
- 68', Suzuki T. ↓, Yoshihara Y. ↑,
- 75', Doi K. ↓, Egawa Y. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 0, Yasuda K. ⚽,
- 82', Hatsuse R. ↓, Nakano S. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 0, Matheus Jesus ⚽, Yamaguchi H. (A),
- 88', Sasaki S. ↓, Okamoto A. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 1, Hummet D. ⚽, Nakatani S. (A),
- 90+4', 2 - 2, Jebali I. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, V-Varen Nagasaki won 1.Both teams have been playing unpredictably. Gamba Osaka is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.There will not play in V-Varen Nagasaki: Emerson Deocleciano
(Knee Injury)
Nagura T.
(Illness)There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Handa R.
(Knee Injury)
Juanpe
(Muscle Injury)
Kishimoto T.
(Red Card)
Miura G.
(Inactive)
Okunuki K.
(Inactive)
Welton
(Inactive)
Yokoi Y.
(Knee Injury)In the last 7 head-to-head matches, V-Varen Nagasaki won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.7:1.7).Including home matches between the teams, V-Varen Nagasaki won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).
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Outrights of Japan J1 League for now
Gamba Osaka: 1.58% V-Varen Nagasaki: 0.58%
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 12 | Gamba Osaka | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
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| 18 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Japan J1 League | | | 25.04.26 | V-Varen Nagasaki - Gamba Osaka | 1:2 penalties | | 08.03.26 | Gamba Osaka - V-Varen Nagasaki | 3:2 | | Japan J League Cup | | | 26.06.19 | Gamba Osaka - V-Varen Nagasaki | 0:2 | | 19.06.19 | V-Varen Nagasaki - Gamba Osaka | 1:4 | | Japan J1 League | | | 24.11.18 | Gamba Osaka - V-Varen Nagasaki | 2:1 | | 14.04.18 | V-Varen Nagasaki - Gamba Osaka | 3:0 | | Japan J2 League | | | 01.09.13 | Gamba Osaka - V-Varen Nagasaki | 1:2 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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