Match Info

Paulista A4 - Round 14

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	VOCEM		Jacareí

	1	X	2
	2.32	2.78	3.15
	2.39	2.79	3.04
	2.4	2.85	3.08	Watch
	2.3	2.63	3.1
	2.32	2.97	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.95)	2.8 ↓ (2.9)	3.11 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VOCEM
38.6%

Draw
32.3%

Jacareí
29.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.1%

31.6%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

30.8%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VOCEM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in VOCEM's performance.

Jacareí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jacareí might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VOCEM than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with VOCEM that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacareí than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jacareí could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

VOCEM - Jacareí Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
74', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Jacareí may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vila Operária Clube Esporte Mariano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
25.03.26	Araçatuba - VOCEM	0:4 ✺
21.03.26	VOCEM - Lemense FC	2:1 ✺
18.03.26	Comercial SP - VOCEM	3:1 ✺
13.03.26	VOCEM - Tanabi	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - VOCEM	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLLL
- Jacareí FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
21.03.26	Jacareí - Comercial SP	1:2 ✺
18.03.26	Lemense FC - Jacareí	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Jacareí - Barretos	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Tanabi - Jacareí	0:0 ✺
04.03.26	Jacareí - Colorado Caieiras	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTTTW

VOCEM - Jacareí

Match Info

Current Win Probability

VOCEM - Jacareí Predictions

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

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