Match Info

Paulista A4 - Round 11

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Lemense FC		Jacareí

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.1	3.8
	1.95	3.05	3.68
	1.96	3.16	3.77
	1.95	2.9	3.75
	1.94	3.08	3.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.89)	3.06 ↓ (3.1)	3.77 ↓ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lemense FC
46.5%

Draw
29.5%

Jacareí
24%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.4%

29.5%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

30.9%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lemense FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Jacareí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lemense FC than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacareí than the current prediction. (-3%)

Lemense FC - Jacareí Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', 🟥,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))

Lemense has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Jacareí is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Lemense is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lemense FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
14.03.26	São Caetano - Lemense FC	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Lemense FC - Colorado Caieiras	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	Lemense FC - Penapolense	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Comercial SP - Lemense FC	0:1 ✺
25.02.26	Nacional SP - Lemense FC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLWWW
- Jacareí FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
14.03.26	Jacareí - Barretos	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Tanabi - Jacareí	0:0 ✺
04.03.26	Jacareí - Colorado Caieiras	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Taquaritinga - Jacareí	0:1 ✺
25.02.26	Jacareí - Araçatuba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TTWWW

Lemense FC - Jacareí

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Lemense FC - Jacareí Predictions

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

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