Match Info

FINLAND: Ykkonen - Relegation Group

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Vaajakosken keskuskentta (Vaajakoski)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Vaajakoski		Espoon Palloseura

	1	X	2
	3.7	4.33	1.65
	3.6	4	1.68
	3.75	4.33	1.68
	3.95	4.46	1.7
	3.88	4.48	1.65	Watch
	3.7	4.2	1.65
	3.85	4.4	1.68
	3.65	4.2	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↑ (3.7)	4.3 ↑ (3.93)	1.67 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vaajakoski
24.2%

Draw
21.2%

Espoon Palloseura
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

23.3%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

18.7%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vaajakoski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Espoon Palloseura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaajakoski than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vaajakoski, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espoon Palloseura than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Espoon Palloseura, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Vaajakoski - Espoon Palloseura Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hetemaki O. (G) 10. Janhunen V. 17. Kovaqi G. 31. Kovaqi G. 14. Montonen B. 3. Sarkkinen J. (C) 20. Simsek B. 6. Suihkonen V. 27. Suutarinen L. 19. Verkko M. 4. Voikar L.	31. Kuisma K. (G) 17. Ahmed M. 25. Ambasciano M. (C) 7. Azhar L. 9. Bela V. 15. Blumme V. 49. Hussein A. 36. Kumpulainen U. 10. Rautiainen O. 21. Sipi R. 8. Tella A.
Substitutes
9. Hakkinen R. 5. Halonen H. 29. Honko R. 18. Kanerva J. 32. Koskiahde T. 2. Pirttinen N. 11. Salim S.	19. Adawi O. 77. Dahlfors O. 11. Hassan M. 30. Kuittinen V. 1. Lyberopoulos O. (G) 14. Osman Z. 59. Toyon O. N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Azhar L. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Kovaqi G. ⚽,
38', Sipi R. 🟨,
40', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Sarkkinen J. ↓, Halonen H. ↑,
60', 2 - 1, Suihkonen V. ⚽,
62', Kumpulainen U. ↓, Toyon O. N. ↑,
62', Rautiainen O. ↓, Adawi O. ↑,
66', Kovaqi G. ↓, Salim S. ↑,
66', Verkko M. ↓, Hakkinen R. ↑,
70', Voikar L. ↓, Pirttinen N. ↑,
71', Azhar L. ↓, Osman Z. ↑,
71', Bela V. ↓, Dahlfors O. ↑,
74', 2 - 2, Hakkinen R. (Own goal),
81', Ahmed M. ↓, Hassan M. ↑,
88', Simsek B. ↓, Honko R. ↑,
90+3', Kovaqi G. 🟨,

Preview

Vaajakoski has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

EPS is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match EPS is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Vaajakoski won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:6 (average 0.5:3).

Including matches at home between the teams Vaajakoski won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vaajakoski
Finnish Ykkonen
28.09.24	KuPS Akatemia - Vaajakoski	3:2 ✺
22.09.24	Vaajakoski - JJK Jyväskylä	1:3 ✺
14.09.24	Keski-Uusimaa - Vaajakoski	5:1 ✺
31.08.24	Vaajakoski - Jazz Pori	2:4 ✺
24.08.24	Klubi 04 - Vaajakoski	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Espoon Palloseura
Finnish Ykkonen
28.09.24	JJK Jyväskylä - Espoon Palloseura	3:2 ✺
22.09.24	Espoon Palloseura - Keski-Uusimaa	4:5 ✺
14.09.24	Espoon Palloseura - VIFK	3:2 ✺
31.08.24	KPV Kokkola - Espoon Palloseura	1:0 ✺
24.08.24	Espoon Palloseura - RoPS	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
03.08.24	Espoon Palloseura - Vaajakoski	5:1
22.05.24	Vaajakoski - Espoon Palloseura	0:1

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