Match Info

FINLAND: Ykkonen - Relegation Group

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Vare Areena (Kuopio)


	KuPS Akatemia		Vaajakoski

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.75	4
	1.49	4.5	4.5
	1.58	4.74	4.51
				Watch
	1.5	4.5	4.5
	1.55	4.7	4.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.56)	4.64 ↓ (4.75)	4.4 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KuPS Akatemia
59.7%

Draw
19.6%

Vaajakoski
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

18.9%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

15.7%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KuPS Akatemia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Vaajakoski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KuPS Akatemia than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with KuPS Akatemia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaajakoski than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vaajakoski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

KuPS Akatemia - Vaajakoski Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Pitkanen M. (G) 9. Ahmad Al Sheikh M. 10. Al Wehliye K. 18. Balde O. 6. Hanhineva J. 36. Hukkanen T. 13. Kauppinen E. (C) 15. Kivijarvi J. 14. Kohonen L. 23. Mattila N. 7. Puolitaival E.	13. Toivari S. (G) 10. Janhunen V. 17. Kovaqi G. 31. Kovaqi G. 14. Montonen B. 2. Pirttinen N. 22. Ronka J. 3. Sarkkinen J. (C) 6. Suihkonen V. 19. Verkko M. 4. Voikar L.
Substitutes
16. Karjalainen A. 17. Kirjavainen E. 5. Mielonen N. 25. Nenonen O. 19. Niskanen A. 22. Partanen T. 1. Saarelainen J. (G)	5. Halonen H. 16. Hetemaki O. (G) 18. Kanerva J. 32. Koskiahde T. 20. Simsek B. 27. Suutarinen L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Puolitaival E. ⚽,
16', Janhunen V. 🟨,
17', 2 - 0, Ahmad Al Sheikh M. ⚽,
18', Kovaqi G. 🟨,
39', 3 - 0, Mattila N. ⚽,
41', Hukkanen T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Ahmad Al Sheikh M. ↓, Nenonen O. ↑,
64', Pirttinen N. ↓, Simsek B. ↑,
64', Suihkonen V. ↓, Suutarinen L. ↑,
66', Pitkanen M. 🟨,
66', 3 - 1, Kovaqi G. (Pen),
71', Kauppinen E. 🟨,
72', Hanhineva J. ↓, Partanen T. ↑,
78', Partanen T. 🟨,
80', Voikar L. 🟨,
82', Pitkanen M. ↓, Saarelainen J. ↑,
83', Puolitaival E. ↓, Kirjavainen E. ↑,
83', Balde O. ↓, Mielonen N. ↑,
85', Ronka J. 🟨,
90', Montonen B. ↓, Koskiahde T. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 2, Voikar L. ⚽,
90+6', Mattila N. 🟨,
90+6', Toivari S. 🟥,
90+8', Kohonen L. 🟨,

Preview

KuPS Akatemia is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vaajakoski has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Vaajakoski could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match KuPS Akatemia is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches KuPS Akatemia won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-6.

Including matches at home between the teams KuPS Akatemia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KuPS Akatemia
Finnish Ykkonen
15.09.24	JJK Jyväskylä - KuPS Akatemia	1:0 ✺
31.08.24	KuPS Akatemia - Atlantis Helsinki	2:5 ✺
20.08.24	JJK Jyväskylä - KuPS Akatemia	1:2 ✺
17.08.24	Espoon Palloseura - KuPS Akatemia	3:0 ✺
10.08.24	KuPS Akatemia - RoPS	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLWLL
- FC Vaajakoski
Finnish Ykkonen
22.09.24	Vaajakoski - JJK Jyväskylä	1:3 ✺
14.09.24	Keski-Uusimaa - Vaajakoski	5:1 ✺
31.08.24	Vaajakoski - Jazz Pori	2:4 ✺
24.08.24	Klubi 04 - Vaajakoski	2:0 ✺
16.08.24	JJK Jyväskylä - Vaajakoski	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
10.07.24	Vaajakoski - KuPS Akatemia	2:2
30.05.24	KuPS Akatemia - Vaajakoski	5:1
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
01.10.23	KuPS Akatemia - Vaajakoski	1:2
09.07.23	Vaajakoski - KuPS Akatemia	1:1

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