Match Info

Kakkonen Group C - Losers stage

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Vaajakosken keskuskentta (Vaajakoski)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Vaajakoski		TP-47

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.80	2.45
	1.94	3.85	2.85
	2.16	4	2.71
	2.15	3.96	2.67	Watch
	2.11	3.55	2.65
	2.16	3.68	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.8)	3.81 ↓ (3.9)	2.67 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vaajakoski
42.5%

Draw
23.7%

TP-47
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

22.7%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

23.7%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vaajakoski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vaajakoski's form might have worsened.

TP-47 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting TP-47's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaajakoski than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vaajakoski, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TP-47 than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for TP-47, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Vaajakoski - TP 47 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Toivari S. (C) 15. Hamalainen A. 10. Jarvinen V. 20. Laakso L. 31. Makinen T. 16. Maunuksela V. 19. Medjadji A. 9. Salmi E. 3. Sarkkinen J. 6. Tuppurainen A. 25. Viren V.	1. Forsman O. (G) 6. Ajayi O. 8. Alamaki J. (C) 27. Autti L. 5. Isokangas J. 11. Koivumies L. 10. Korkala V. 12. Kulju H. 22. Lantto E. 3. Mattinen V. 4. Niskala J.
Substitutes
2. Collin M. 24. Kinnunen T. 22. Lahti M. 18. Muradi B. 99. Niemi N. (G) 8. Seilonen L.	7. Eskelinen M. 9. Nurkkala M. 23. Pitkanen A. 25. Rapo J. (G) 2. Rauvala S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', 🟨,
22', Autti L. ↓, Eskelinen M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 0 - 1, Korkala V. ⚽,
59', Jarvinen V. 🟨,
60', Koivumies L. 🟨,
67', Viren V. ↓, Kinnunen T. ↑,
68', Medjadji A. ↓, Seilonen L. ↑,
68', Jarvinen V. ↓, Muradi B. ↑,
78', Salmi E. 🟨,
81', Koivumies L. ↓, Nurkkala M. ↑,
86', Lantto E. 🟨,
90', Makinen T. ↓, Lahti M. ↑,

Preview

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

TP-47 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Vaajakoski has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 8:6 (averaging 2:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Vaajakoski against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 5:2 goals (averaging 2.5:1 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vaajakoski
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
12.09.26	SJK Akatemia 2 - Vaajakoski	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Vaajakoski - JS Hercules	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	TP-47 - Vaajakoski	4:2 ✺
15.08.26	Vaajakoski - GBK Kokkola	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Vaajakoski - VPS 2	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLTW
- TP-47
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
11.09.26	TP-47 - JS Hercules	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	SJK Akatemia 2 - TP-47	1:3 ✺
22.08.26	TP-47 - Vaajakoski	4:2 ✺
16.08.26	JBK - TP-47	4:0 ✺
08.08.26	TP-47 - Närpes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group C
22.08.26	TP-47 - Vaajakoski	4:2
14.06.26	Vaajakoski - TP-47	3:2
07.10.23	Vaajakoski - TP-47	2:0
22.07.23	TP-47 - Vaajakoski	0:1

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