Match Info

Kakkonen Group C - Losers stage

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Pohjan Stadium (Tornio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	TP-47		Vaajakoski

	1	X	2
	2.00	4.00	2.65
	2.12	3.75	2.55
	1.92	4.47	2.97
	2.11	4.36	2.57	Watch
	1.85	4.40	2.90
	1.87	4.50	2.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.12)	4.25 ↑ (3.75)	2.76 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TP-47
45.8%

Draw
21.3%

Vaajakoski
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

23.6%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

22.2%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TP-47 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Vaajakoski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TP-47 than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vaajakoski than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

TP 47 - Vaajakoski Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Rapo J. (G) 6. Ajayi O. 8. Alamaki J. (C) 7. Eskelinen M. 5. Isokangas J. 11. Koivumies L. 10. Korkala V. 16. Korkeamaki H. 28. Kulju E. 22. Lantto E. 17. Niskala J.	13. Toivari S. (G) 15. Hamalainen A. 14. Liimatainen N. 16. Maunuksela V. 9. Salmi E. 3. Sarkkinen J. (C) 8. Seilonen L. 30. Stadig T. 7. Suutarinen L. 6. Tuppurainen A. 25. Viren V.
Substitutes
20. Barrow A. 19. Harju E. 9. Nurkkala M. 99. Pitkanen A. 2. Rauvala S. 21. Toivanen E.	2. Collin M. 10. Jarvinen V. 99. Kananen J. (G) 4. Matilainen A. 18. Muradi B. 11. Nizo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Preview

TP-47 has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Vaajakoski has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

TP-47 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, TP-47 has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:8 (averaging 1.4:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for TP-47 against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:3 goals (averaging 2:1.5 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TP-47
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
27.09.26	TP-47 - SJK Akatemia 2	0:4 ✺
19.09.26	Vaajakoski - TP-47	0:1 ✺
11.09.26	TP-47 - JS Hercules	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	SJK Akatemia 2 - TP-47	1:3 ✺
22.08.26	TP-47 - Vaajakoski	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LWLWW
- FC Vaajakoski
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
26.09.26	JS Hercules - Vaajakoski	2:2 ✺
19.09.26	Vaajakoski - TP-47	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	SJK Akatemia 2 - Vaajakoski	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Vaajakoski - JS Hercules	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	TP-47 - Vaajakoski	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group C
19.09.26	Vaajakoski - TP-47	0:1
22.08.26	TP-47 - Vaajakoski	4:2
14.06.26	Vaajakoski - TP-47	3:2
07.10.23	Vaajakoski - TP-47	2:0
22.07.23	TP-47 - Vaajakoski	0:1

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