Match Info

Date: 8 September 2022, Thursday

Location: Rheinpark Stadion (Vaduz)

Referee: Muntean D. (Mda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Vaduz		Apollon Limassol

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.25	2.3
	3	3.3	2.25
	3.2	3.4	2.25
	3.05	3.35	2.25
	3.24	3.43	2.25
	3.13	3.46	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↓ (3.17)	3.37 ↑ (3.32)	2.25 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vaduz
30%

Draw
28%

Apollon Limassol
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

28.2%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

27.9%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vaduz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Apollon Limassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vaduz than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Apollon Limassol than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.1%	31.1%	37.8%

Vaduz - Apollon Limassol Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Vaduz will win (votes: 14 - 31.1%). Apollon Limassol will win (votes: 17 - 37.8%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 31.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Apollon Limassol: 23.6% – 52%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Vaduz has currently - 0, has a very small chance of 1st (1%), has a small chance of 2nd (6%), has a chance of 3rd (19%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (3%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Apollon Limassol has currently - 0, has a small chance of 1st (15%), has a chance of 2nd (29%), has a chance of 3rd (41%), has a chance of round of 16 (27%), has a small chance of qtrs (11%), has a very small chance of semis (4%), has a very small chance of final (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 35, importance 49, match rating 42. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Vaduz is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Apollon Limassol is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Apollon Limassol will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vaduz
Swiss Challenge League
04.09.22	Vaduz - Schaffhausen	1:1 ✺
28.08.22	Lausanne-Sport - Vaduz	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.08.22	Rapid Wien - Vaduz	0:1 ✺
18.08.22	Vaduz - Rapid Wien	1:1 ✺
Swiss Challenge League
14.08.22	Vaduz - Thun	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 TLWTL
- Apollon Limassol
Cypriot First Division
03.09.22	Doxa Katokopias - Apollon Limassol	0:1 ✺
30.08.22	Apollon Limassol - Enosis Neon Paralimni	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.08.22	Olympiacos Piraeus - Apollon Limassol	2:1 penalties ✺
18.08.22	Apollon Limassol - Olympiacos Piraeus	1:1 ✺
Cypriot Super Cup
12.08.22	Apollon Limassol - Omonia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLTW

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