Match Info

Liga BPI Women - Round 18

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira (Alcochete)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Sporting Lisbon		Racing Power

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.9	5.7
	1.51	4.06	5.08
	1.52	4.15	5.3	Watch
	1.44	3.7	5.5
	1.47	3.98	5.87
	1.3	4.6	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.3)	4.07 ↓ (4.6)	5.99 ↓ (8.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon
62.5%

Draw
22.3%

Racing Power
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.7%

19.7%

10.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.5%

18.7%

10.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sporting Lisbon's form might have worsened.

Racing Power has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sporting Lisbon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Power than the current prediction. (-5%)

Sporting Lisbon - Racing Power Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Potra C. (G) 20. Armengol C. 14. Arques D. 41. Barron A. 19. Bonsegundo F. 39. Bravo A. 4. Cancelinha E. 6. Eaton-Collins G. 8. Fontemanha R. 2. Hernandez-Gray J. 13. Santiago C.	13. Exposito N. (G) 17. Besugo N. 20. Costa D. 23. Ezekiel M. 28. Ferreira M. 6. Gonzalez P. 14. Haakenson M. 5. High S. N. 26. Nogueira A. 7. Pettet K. 25. Rodrigues B.
Substitutes
77. Abreu Rodrigues T. F. 15. Bea 17. Claudia Neto 21. Lino S. 7. Martins J. 27. Nave M. 11. Perez B. 18. Raphino B. 1. Wellmann A. (G)	10. Barboz M. 21. Ferreira I. 38. Ferreira M. 1. Oliveira A. (G) 8. Realista C. 70. Rosa M. 9. Worden L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Arques D. ↓, Claudia Neto ↑,
80', Fontemanha R. ↓, Abreu Rodrigues T. F. ↑,
86', Bravo A. ↓, Perez B. ↑,
90+1', Haakenson M. ↓, Ferreira M. ↑,
90+1', Ezekiel M. ↓, Worden L. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: ) and 7).

Sporting is Qualified for Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 4.

Recent performances by Sporting have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Racing Power is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Racing Power may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sporting is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:5. (average 1.6:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Sporting won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Sporting W	3	2	1	0	7:0	7	7
6	Racing Power W	3	1	1	1	1:3	-2	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon Women
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
01.05.26	Benfica - Sporting Lisbon	3:1 ✺
25.04.26	Sporting Lisbon - Rio Ave	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Sporting Lisbon - Braga	3:1 ✺
22.03.26	Torreense - Sporting Lisbon	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Sporting Lisbon - Marítimo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWLW
- Racing Power Women
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
03.05.26	Racing Power - Braga	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	Torreense - Racing Power	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Racing Power - Marítimo	3:0 ✺
21.03.26	Valadares Gaia - Racing Power	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Racing Power - Damaiense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Portugal Taça de Liga Women
31.01.26	Sporting Lisbon - Racing Power	2:1
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
11.01.26	Racing Power - Sporting Lisbon	2:3
16.03.25	Racing Power - Sporting Lisbon	0:0
03.11.24	Sporting Lisbon - Racing Power	3:0
Portuguese Super Cup Women
17.08.24	Racing Power - Sporting Lisbon	0:2
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
18.02.24	Racing Power - Sporting Lisbon	1:0
Portugal Taça de Liga Women
14.02.24	Sporting Lisbon - Racing Power	1:0

Sporting Lisbon - Racing Power: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide