Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 12

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Valencia B		Atlètic Lleida

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.3	3.95
	1.24	6.28	8.63	Watch
	1.87	3.2	3.96
	1.83	3.25	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.97)	4.01 ↑ (3.45)	5.16 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valencia B
57.2%

Draw
24.1%

Atlètic Lleida
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

26.6%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

25.3%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valencia B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valencia B's performance.

Atlètic Lleida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlètic Lleida might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia B than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valencia B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlètic Lleida than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlètic Lleida could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	9.1%	0%

Valencia B - Atlètic Lleida Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Valencia B (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Users Predictions: Valencia B will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Jurado M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Valencia B has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Atlètic Lleida has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Valencia B is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valencia B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
16.11.25	Poblense - Valencia B	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Valencia B - Andratx	2:2 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
04.11.25	Crystal Palace U21 - Valencia B	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
02.11.25	Torrent - Valencia B	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Valencia B - Porreres	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTWTT
- Atlètic Lleida
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
15.11.25	Atlètic Lleida - Andratx	3:2 ✺
09.11.25	Alcoyano - Atlètic Lleida	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Atlètic Lleida - Castellon B	2:4 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.25	Atlètic Lleida - Espanyol	1:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
26.10.25	Barbastro - Atlètic Lleida	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLLT

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