Match Info

NPL Northern NSW - Round 20

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Croudace Bay Complex (Lake Macquarie)


	Valentine Phoenix		Charlestown Azzurri

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.9	2.3	Watch
	2.5	3.6	2.37
	2.20	3.55	2.55
	2.46	3.85	2.28
	2.52	3.77	2.42	Watch
	2.35	3.70	2.20
	2.47	3.72	2.28	Watch
	2.50	3.80	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.48)	3.74 ↑ (3.3)	2.34 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentine Phoenix
37.2%

Draw
24.1%

Charlestown Azzurri
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

27%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

25.4%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentine Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Charlestown Azzurri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentine Phoenix than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlestown Azzurri than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Valentine Phoenix - Charlestown Azzurri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 12 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valentine won 1.

Valentine has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Charlestown Azzurri has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Valentine may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valentine won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:41. (average 1.1:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Valentine won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:25. (average 1.1:2.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentine Phoenix
Australian NPL Northern NSW
11.07.26	Valentine Phoenix - Kahibah	3:2 ✺
03.07.26	Cooks Hill United - Valentine Phoenix	3:1 ✺
27.06.26	Valentine Phoenix - Lambton Jaffas	1:1 ✺
20.06.26	Valentine Phoenix - Edgeworth Eagles	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Maitland - Valentine Phoenix	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 WLTWL
- Charlestown Azzurri
Australian NPL Northern NSW
15.07.26	Charlestown Azzurri - Weston Bears	0:5 ✺
11.07.26	Cooks Hill United - Charlestown Azzurri	4:0 ✺
01.07.26	Newcastle Olympic - Charlestown Azzurri	7:1 ✺
27.06.26	Charlestown Azzurri - Belmont Swansea United	1:3 ✺
24.06.26	Charlestown Azzurri - Cooks Hill United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Northern NSW
25.04.26	Charlestown Azzurri - Valentine Phoenix	1:2
06.07.25	Charlestown Azzurri - Valentine Phoenix	0:0
05.04.25	Valentine Phoenix - Charlestown Azzurri	1:5
18.08.24	Valentine Phoenix - Charlestown Azzurri	1:2
12.05.24	Charlestown Azzurri - Valentine Phoenix	3:0
10.06.23	Valentine Phoenix - Charlestown Azzurri	0:1
11.03.23	Charlestown Azzurri - Valentine Phoenix	3:0

Valentine Phoenix - Charlestown Azzurri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide