Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 7

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday


	Valenzana Mado		Imperia

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.3	3.15
	2.13	3.29	3.02
	2.34	3.08	2.99	Watch
	2.04	3.25	3.33
	1.55	3.75	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.17)	3.33 ↓ (3.48)	3.58 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valenzana Mado
46.1%

Draw
27.9%

Imperia
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

26.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

25.2%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valenzana Mado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Imperia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Imperia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valenzana Mado than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valenzana Mado that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imperia than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Imperia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Valenzana Mado - Imperia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Montini M. (Pen),
41', 1 - 1, Idaro B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', 🟥,
90+1', 2 - 1, Montini M. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Valenzana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Valenzana is a strong favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valenzana Mado
Italian Serie D - Group A
04.10.25	Celle Varazze - Valenzana Mado	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Valenzana Mado - Derthona	1:2 ✺
24.09.25	Asti - Valenzana Mado	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Valenzana Mado - Unione Sanremo	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Biellese - Valenzana Mado	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLTTL
- ASD Imperia
Italian Serie D - Group A
05.10.25	Imperia - Ligorna	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Vado - Imperia	3:1 ✺
24.09.25	Imperia - Sestri Levante	0:5 ✺
20.09.25	Club Milano - Imperia	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Saluzzo - Imperia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLLTL

Valenzana Mado - Imperia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide