Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 5

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio José Zorrilla (Valladolid)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Sports MENA 5
Australia	beIN Connect
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Malaysia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Thailand	beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+, SportsEngine Play


	Valladolid		Real Oviedo

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.82	Watch
	2.50	2.90	2.80
	2.52	2.92	2.85	Watch
	2.69	3.02	3.08
	2.54	2.99	3.08	Watch
	2.6	2.95	2.95
	2.62	3.06	3.01	Watch
	2.55	3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.51)	2.99 ↓ (3.02)	2.94 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valladolid
36.6%

Draw
31.4%

Real Oviedo
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

30.7%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

30.3%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	75%	12.5%

Valladolid - Real Oviedo Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Valladolid will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Oviedo will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Aceves A. (G) 14. Alejo I. (C) 5. Martinez R. 4. Torres D. 18. Clerc C. 21. Ponceau J. 16. Balboa A. 23. Abed T. 7. Chacon L. 22. de Rooij K. 20. van Duiven R.	13. Escandell A. (G) 2. Ahmed A. 12. Calvo D. (C) 23. Dominguez C. 3. Cruz J. 5. Lachhab Y. 6. Villahermosa D. 10. Reina A. 8. Goti Lopez M. 20. Saenz P. 24. Isfan A.
Substitutes
3. Al Amin H. 19. Arnuncio A. 17. Barbera V. 11. Cabanzon Y. 30. Fernandez V. 27. Garriel I. 24. Juric S. 9. Latasa J. 26. Lavagnino L. (G) 32. Parriego M. 15. Tomeo P. 2. Trilli	11. Gonzalez J. 21. Jimenez D. 30. Marco Esteban 28. Menendez D. 18. Mingo V. 1. Narvaez M. (G) 17. Pedrola E. 32. Perez E. 15. Rodriguez S.
Coaches
Escriba F.	Calero J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Calvo D. 🟨,
23', Alejo I. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Dominguez C. ⚽,
27', Aceves A. 🟨,
30', Lachhab Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Reina A. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
53', 0 - 2, Calvo D. ⚽,
55', de Rooij K. ↓, Fernandez V. ↑,
55', Abed T. ↓, Cabanzon Y. ↑,
56', 0 - 3, Saenz P. ⚽, Perez E. (A),
62', Isfan A. ↓, Pedrola E. ↑,
62', Goti Lopez M. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
69', Balboa A. ↓, Juric S. ↑,
69', Ponceau J. ↓, Latasa J. ↑,
77', Saenz P. ↓, Jimenez D. ↑,
80', van Duiven R. ↓, Barbera V. ↑,
83', Villahermosa D. ↓, Menendez D. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valladolid won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Oviedo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Valladolid has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Valladolid: Bueno G. (Knee Injury) Juric S. (Coach's decision) Lachuer M. (Red Card) Marcos Andre (Coach's decision)

There will not play in Oviedo: Aldasoro A. (Red Card) Chaira I. (Shoulder Injury) Domingues B. (Injury) Fernandez C. (Injury) Ramos C. (Knock)

There are questionable in Oviedo: Costas D. (Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Valladolid won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Valladolid won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 2.2:1).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga2 for now

Valladolid: 1.23%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Oviedo	8	3	2	3	8:8	0	11
14	Valladolid	8	2	3	3	8:11	-3	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga2
05.09.26	Valladolid - FC Andorra	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Cádiz - Valladolid	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Eibar - Valladolid	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Mallorca - Valladolid	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.26	Gimnástica Segoviana - Valladolid	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTLLW
- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga2
06.09.26	Real Oviedo - Burgos	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Albacete Balompié - Real Oviedo	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Real Oviedo - Leganés	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Real Oviedo - Granada	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Nürnberg - Real Oviedo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
23.02.24	Valladolid - Real Oviedo	3:0
24.09.23	Real Oviedo - Valladolid	0:1
13.03.22	Real Oviedo - Valladolid	3:0
12.12.21	Valladolid - Real Oviedo	2:1
20.04.18	Real Oviedo - Valladolid	1:2
18.11.17	Valladolid - Real Oviedo	3:1
Club Friendly
12.08.17	Real Oviedo - Valladolid	1:0

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