The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Eibar 45.8%
Draw 31.4%
Valladolid 22.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.5%
32.7%
25.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42%
32.3%
25.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
84.6%
15.4%
0%
Eibar - Valladolid Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Eibar will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Eibar: 65% – 100%.
13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 22. Rodriguez A. 4. Elgezabal U. 23. Arbilla A. (C) 24. Bernat J. 30. Garrido A. 6. Alvarez S. 17. Pejino 11. Magunazelaia Argoitia J. 10. Guruzeta J. 9. Bautista J.
1. Aceves A. (G) 14. Alejo I. (C) 5. Martinez R. 4. Torres D. 27. Garriel I. 8. Ojeda T. 21. Ponceau J. 11. Cabanzon Y. 7. Chacon L. 22. de Rooij K. 9. Latasa J.
Substitutes
15. Amador J. 18. Arana M. 7. Ares A. 2. Cubero S. 21. Gil I. 20. Javier Marton 1. Lopez L. (G) 32. Lumbreras C. 8. Madariaga A. 28. Nunez L. 35. Sarasketa L.
19. Arnuncio A. 16. Balboa A. 17. Barbera V. 18. Clerc C. 30. Fernandez V. 35. Galdeano A. 6. Lachuer M. 28. Perez Guerrero D. 15. Tomeo P. 2. Trilli 20. van Duiven R. 31. Wauthier H. (G)
Coaches
Aranbarri J.
Escriba F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Alvarez S. ↓, Madariaga A. ↑,
34', Ojeda T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Pejino ↓, Gil I. ↑,
48', Latasa J. 🟨,
50', de Rooij K. 🟨,
57', Guruzeta J. 🟨,
61', Ojeda T. ↓, Balboa A. ↑,
61', de Rooij K. ↓, Fernandez V. ↑,
64', 1 - 0, Rodriguez A. ⚽, Madariaga A. (A),
66', Bautista J. ↓, Javier Marton ↑,
66', Guruzeta J. ↓, Ares A. ↑,
70', Latasa J. ↓, Arnuncio A. ↑,
70', Cabanzon Y. ↓, van Duiven R. ↑,
72', Arbilla A. 🟨,
78', Garrido A. ↓, Nunez L. ↑,
80', Garriel I. 🟨,
83', Garriel I. ↓, Clerc C. ↑,
90+2', Ares A. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eibar won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Eibar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Eibar will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Eibar: Garcia I.
(Injury)
Nolaskoain P.
(Ankle Injury)
Olaetxea L.
(Injury)
There will not play in Valladolid: Bueno G.
(Knee Injury)
Juric S.
(Coach's decision)
Marcos Andre
(Coach's decision)
Meseguer Cavas V. A.
(Coach's decision)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Eibar won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Eibar won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 2.2:1.2).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Eibar
8
7
0
1
18:7
11
21
16
Valladolid
8
2
3
3
8:11
-3
9
Last Results with these Odds
Eibar - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 41.46%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.