Match Info

Date: 17 October 2021, Sunday


	Valladolid B		Athletic Bilbao B

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	2.8
	2.5	3	2.6
	2.4	3.2	2.6
	2.4	2.9	2.85
	2.48	3.13	2.92
	2.4	3.1	2.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.46)	3.09 ↓ (3.21)	2.78 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valladolid B
37.8%

Draw
29.5%

Athletic Bilbao B
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

28.4%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

20.6%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valladolid B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Athletic Bilbao B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid B than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valladolid B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Athletic Bilbao B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Valladolid B - Athletic Bilbao B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 13).

The competitors look crappy now.

Valladolid B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Valladolid B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Valladolid B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valladolid B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
09.10.21	Extremadura UD - Valladolid B	1:0 ✺
02.10.21	Valladolid B - Unionistas de Salamanca	0:0 ✺
25.09.21	Leonesa - Valladolid B	4:2 ✺
18.09.21	Valladolid B - San Sebastian Reyes	2:2 ✺
11.09.21	Ferrol - Valladolid B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTLTL
- Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
08.10.21	Athletic Bilbao B - Celta de Vigo B	0:1 ✺
03.10.21	Tudelano - Athletic Bilbao B	2:2 ✺
26.09.21	Athletic Bilbao B - UD Logroñés	3:1 ✺
17.09.21	Athletic Bilbao B - Unionistas de Salamanca	0:1 ✺
12.09.21	Leonesa - Athletic Bilbao B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
26.10.19	Athletic Bilbao B - Valladolid B	4:1

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