Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 14

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Reino de León (León)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Leonesa		Athletic Bilbao B

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.25	5
	1.7	3.25	4.4
	1.73	3.3	5
	1.73	3.54	4.93
	1.69	3.36	5.04	Watch
	1.71	3.13	5.61
	1.73	3.3	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.45)	3.3 ↓ (3.65)	5 ↓ (7.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Leonesa
53.8%

Draw
27.8%

Athletic Bilbao B
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

25.1%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

23.3%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leonesa's form might have worsened.

Athletic Bilbao B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Athletic Bilbao B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leonesa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Athletic Bilbao B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Leonesa - Athletic Bilbao B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Banuz M. (G) 12. Ortega G. 4. Rodri Suarez (C) 3. Satrustegui E. 17. Martinez A. 7. Calderon C. 14. Bicho 21. Artola J. 8. Barri 10. Chacon L. 19. Escobar A.	25. Santos M. (G) 24. Louis-Jean J. 22. Irurita X. 5. Ebro Cortina E. 17. Aguilar Elizalde E. 29. Perez A. 18. Canales P. 6. Rego A. 8. Gerenabarrena B. 7. Varela I. 23. Hierro A.
Substitutes
20. Alba T. 5. Fornos Q. 16. Maestre S. 22. Pibe 6. Presa K. 26. Ruiz J. (G) 15. Ruiz V. 11. Samanes S.	19. Azkune E. 3. De Luis J. 12. Elias J. 1. Gastesi O. (G) 16. Lete E. 11. Olabarrieta A. 31. Oyono I. 10. Sanchez I. 9. Sanz I. 26. Sola J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Escobar A. ⚽,
17', Varela I. 🟨,
23', Bicho 🟨,
33', 1 - 1, Varela I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 1 - 2, Hierro A. ⚽,
49', Barri 🟥,
55', Calderon C. ↓, Presa K. ↑,
55', Bicho ↓, Maestre S. ↑,
63', Hierro A. ↓, Oyono I. ↑,
63', Artola J. ↓, Pibe ↑,
64', 🟨,
67', Oyono I. 🟨,
70', Ebro Cortina E. ↓, De Luis J. ↑,
70', Varela I. ↓, Azkune E. ↑,
73', 1 - 3, Canales P. ⚽,
75', Escobar A. ↓, Alba T. ↑,
89', Canales P. ↓, Sanchez I. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Leonesa is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Athletic Bilbao B has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Athletic Bilbao B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Leonesa is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Leonesa won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:5 (average 2.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Leonesa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:3 (average 3.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
16.11.24	Celta de Vigo B - Leonesa	1:3 ✺
10.11.24	Leonesa - Sestao	1:2 ✺
03.11.24	Amorebieta - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
31.10.24	Llanera - Leonesa	0:2 ET ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.10.24	Leonesa - Ponferradina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLTWW
- Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
15.11.24	Athletic Bilbao B - Osasuna B	0:1 ✺
09.11.24	Athletic Bilbao B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:3 ✺
02.11.24	Lugo - Athletic Bilbao B	1:0 ✺
26.10.24	Athletic Bilbao B - Ourense CF	0:2 ✺
20.10.24	Sestao - Athletic Bilbao B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
25.01.22	Athletic Bilbao B - Leonesa	1:2
12.09.21	Leonesa - Athletic Bilbao B	2:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
26.01.20	Athletic Bilbao B - Leonesa	1:0
08.09.19	Leonesa - Athletic Bilbao B	5:2

Upcoming Matches