Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 16

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Lezama Facilities (Lezama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Athletic Bilbao B		Celta de Vigo B

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.9
	2.25	3.1	3
	2.34	3.29	3
	2.3	3.35	2.98	Watch
	2.25	2.9	3
	2.21	3.06	3.13
	2	3.14	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.44)	3.13 ↓ (3.19)	3.06 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Bilbao B
41%

Draw
29.1%

Celta de Vigo B
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

29.1%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

29.1%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Bilbao B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Celta de Vigo B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo B than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Athletic Bilbao B - Celta de Vigo B Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Athletic Bilbao B will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Celta de Vigo B will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Athletic Bilbao B (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Santos M. (G) 15. Alday I. 12. Barandalla M. 11. Bujan E. 31. Conde A. 3. De Luis J. 5. Ebro Cortina E. 18. Garcia E. 8. Lete E. 10. Sanchez I. 9. Sanz I.	1. Carrillo J. B. (G) 5. Burcio H. 10. de la Iglesia D. 7. Gonzalez H. 32. Khayat A. 18. Lopez J. 19. Marcos O. 9. Marin A. 6. Meixus P. 22. Ndiaye S. M. 26. Rodriguez A.
Substitutes
1. Gamen E. (G) 21. Garcia B. 6. Gibelalde M. 23. Gift E. 7. Hierro A. 17. Huestamendia P. 2. Irurita X. 14. Izagirre Cestona A. 19. Louis-Jean J. 22. Perez A. 20. Vizcay T.	8. Antanon A. 11. Arcos A. 21. Bilbao L. 13. Caio Barone (G) 16. Capdevila A. 2. Gavian P. 25. Gonzalez M. (G) 23. Miller G. 17. Somuah B. 20. Tarba I. 4. Vazquez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Ndiaye S. M. 🟥,
21', Sanchez I. ↓, Garcia B. ↑,
27', 1 - 0, Ebro Cortina E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Conde A. ↓, Huestamendia P. ↑,
46', de la Iglesia D. ↓, Antanon A. ↑,
46', Marin A. ↓, Somuah B. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, De Luis J. (Own goal),
57', Lete E. 🟨,
57', Lete E. ↓, Gibelalde M. ↑,
58', Ebro Cortina E. ↓, Irurita X. ↑,
61', 1 - 2, Antanon A. ⚽,
63', Bujan E. ↓, Hierro A. ↑,
66', Marcos O. ↓, Vazquez J. ↑,
73', Somuah B. ↓, Arcos A. ↑,
81', Gonzalez H. ↓, Capdevila A. ↑,
84', Burcio H. 🟨,
84', 🟨,
88', Lopez J. ↓, Miller G. ↑,
90+5', Meixus P. 🟨,
90+6', Hierro A. 🟥,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Athletic Bilbao B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Athletic Bilbao B will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic Bilbao B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Athletic Bilbao B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Athletic Bilbao B - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 38.07%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Celta de Vigo B - the odds 2.83 are the expected chance of winning is 32.82%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
07.12.25	Arenas Club de Getxo - Athletic Bilbao B	3:1 ✺
29.11.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Lugo	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	CD Guadalajara - Athletic Bilbao B	2:3 ✺
16.11.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Arenteiro	2:1 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
12.11.25	Sunderland U21 - Athletic Bilbao B	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWWL
- Celta de Vigo B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.12.25	Celta de Vigo B - Pontevedra	1:2 ✺
30.11.25	Real Avilés - Celta de Vigo B	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Celta de Vigo B - Ponferradina	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Tenerife - Celta de Vigo B	4:0 ✺
08.11.25	Celta de Vigo B - Talavera de la Reina	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.05.25	Celta de Vigo B - Athletic Bilbao B	2:1
29.09.24	Athletic Bilbao B - Celta de Vigo B	0:1
29.01.22	Celta de Vigo B - Athletic Bilbao B	4:1
08.10.21	Athletic Bilbao B - Celta de Vigo B	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF Promotion Play Offs
16.05.21	Athletic Bilbao B - Celta de Vigo B	2:1

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