Match Info

Date: 7 May 2022, Saturday


	Valladolid B		Badajoz

	1	X	2
	3	2.9	2.3
	2.95	2.95	2.25
	3	3	2.35
	2.95	2.9	2.34
	3.19	2.96	2.42
	2.99	3.14	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.82)	2.98 ↑ (2.91)	2.33 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valladolid B
30.3%

Draw
30.6%

Badajoz
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

31.1%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

31.9%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valladolid B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Badajoz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid B than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Valladolid B - Badajoz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Recent matches Valladolid B is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Badajoz is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Valladolid B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Badajoz have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Valladolid B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valladolid B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.05.22	San Sebastian Reyes - Valladolid B	1:1 ✺
24.04.22	Valladolid B - Leonesa	3:3 ✺
16.04.22	Calahorra - Valladolid B	2:0 ✺
10.04.22	Valladolid B - SD Logroñés	2:0 ✺
06.04.22	Valladolid B - Talavera de la Reina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TTLWW
- CD Badajoz
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
30.04.22	Badajoz - Athletic Bilbao B	1:0 ✺
17.04.22	Badajoz - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:0 ✺
09.04.22	Badajoz - Calahorra	0:0 ✺
03.04.22	SD Logroñés - Badajoz	1:1 ✺
25.03.22	Badajoz - Real Unión de Irun	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
08.01.22	Badajoz - Valladolid B	1:2

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