Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 29

Date: 26 March 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Vivero (Badajoz)


	Badajoz		Unionistas de Salamanca

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.9	2.75
	2.55	2.75	2.75
	2.6	2.6	2.9
	2.7	2.79	3.04
	2.56	2.94	2.9
	2.65	2.8	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.42)	2.8 ↑ (2.7)	2.85 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Badajoz
35.2%

Draw
32.7%

Unionistas de Salamanca
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

33.9%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

34.1%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Badajoz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Unionistas de Salamanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unionistas de Salamanca than the current prediction. (-4%)

Badajoz - Unionistas de Salamanca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Badajoz is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Unionistas is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Badajoz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Badajoz won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Badajoz won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Badajoz
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
19.03.23	Celta de Vigo B - Badajoz	2:0 ✺
12.03.23	Linense - Badajoz	1:1 ✺
04.03.23	Badajoz - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
25.02.23	Deportivo A Coruña - Badajoz	5:0 ✺
18.02.23	Badajoz - San Sebastian Reyes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTTLT
- Unionistas de Salamanca
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
18.03.23	Unionistas de Salamanca - Linense	1:0 ✺
12.03.23	San Fernando - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:2 ✺
05.03.23	Unionistas de Salamanca - San Sebastian Reyes	1:0 ✺
26.02.23	Alcorcón - Unionistas de Salamanca	2:0 ✺
18.02.23	Unionistas de Salamanca - Mérida AD	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.12.22	Unionistas de Salamanca - Badajoz	0:0
17.04.22	Badajoz - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:0
20.11.21	Unionistas de Salamanca - Badajoz	2:2

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