Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 30

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Valladolid B		Bergantiños

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.05
	2.26	2.98	3.22
	2.25	3.06	3.17	Watch
	2.25	2.8	3.2
	2.25	2.93	3.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.37)	2.95 ↓ (3.24)	3.17 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valladolid B
40.5%

Draw
30.8%

Bergantiños
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

28.4%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

28%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valladolid B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Bergantiños has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid B than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Valladolid B - Bergantiños Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Carvajal A. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Martinez D. ⚽,
42', 2 - 1, Riki ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
67', 3 - 1, Chinedu B. ⚽,
74', 3 - 2, Perez Bujan A. ⚽,
82', 3 - 3, Tass ⚽,
90+6', 3 - 4, Fito (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Valladolid B will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valladolid B won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Valladolid B won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bergantinos	5	4	1	0	12:5	7	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valladolid B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
29.03.26	Gimnástica Segoviana - Valladolid B	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Valladolid B - Real Oviedo B	2:2 ✺
15.03.26	Rayo Cantabria - Valladolid B	4:1 ✺
07.03.26	Valladolid B - Numancia	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Marino de Luanco - Valladolid B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTLTL
- Bergantiños FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
29.03.26	Bergantiños - Coruxo	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Salamanca - Bergantiños	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Bergantiños - Lealtad	3:0 ✺
08.03.26	Burgos Promesas - Bergantiños	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Bergantiños - Deportivo A Coruña B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
05.10.25	Bergantiños - Valladolid B	1:0
16.03.25	Bergantiños - Valladolid B	3:2
03.11.24	Valladolid B - Bergantiños	1:0
19.02.23	Valladolid B - Bergantiños	2:0
02.10.22	Bergantiños - Valladolid B	0:1

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