Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 26

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	Valladolid B		Numancia

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.1	2.42
	2.82	3.05	2.65
	2.71	3.03	2.57	Watch
	2.7	2.9	2.45
	2.73	3.22	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.5)	3.06 ↓ (3.17)	2.53 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valladolid B
33.8%

Draw
30%

Numancia
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

28.4%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

28.6%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valladolid B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid B than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Valladolid B - Numancia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Bonilla J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+7', 1 - 1, Arconada D. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: ) and 6).

Valladolid B is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Numancia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valladolid B won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 1.2:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Valladolid B won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Valladolid B - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 35.92%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valladolid B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
28.02.26	Marino de Luanco - Valladolid B	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Valladolid B - Sámano	2:2 ✺
15.02.26	Coruxo - Valladolid B	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Valladolid B - Real Ávila	7:2 ✺
01.02.26	Sarriana - Valladolid B	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LTWWW
- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
01.03.26	Numancia - Burgos Promesas	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Deportivo A Coruña B - Numancia	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Numancia - UD Ourense	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Salamanca - Numancia	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Numancia - Lealtad	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
02.11.25	Numancia - Valladolid B	3:1
27.04.25	Valladolid B - Numancia	1:3
15.12.24	Numancia - Valladolid B	3:1
21.02.21	Valladolid B - Numancia	1:1
28.11.20	Numancia - Valladolid B	2:2

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