Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 26

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday


	Burgos Promesas		Bergantiños

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.98	2.12
	3.57	3	2.2
	3.37	3.1	2.14	Watch
	3.2	2.9	2.15
	3.36	3.21	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (3.16)	3.04 (3.04)	2.16 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos Promesas
27.4%

Draw
30.2%

Bergantiños
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

29.7%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

30%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos Promesas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Bergantiños has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos Promesas than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Burgos Promesas - Bergantiños Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', 1 - 0, Pascual H. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Burgos Promesas has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Bergantiños has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Burgos Promesas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bergantiños is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Burgos Promesas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1.3:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Burgos Promesas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bergantinos	5	4	1	0	12:5	7	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos Promesas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
01.03.26	Numancia - Burgos Promesas	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Burgos Promesas - Real Ávila	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Langreo - Burgos Promesas	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Burgos Promesas - Real Oviedo B	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	UD Ourense - Burgos Promesas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLLLT
- Bergantiños FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
01.03.26	Bergantiños - Deportivo A Coruña B	2:2 ✺
22.02.26	Gimnástica Segoviana - Bergantiños	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Bergantiños - Rayo Cantabria	3:4 ✺
07.02.26	Atlético Astorga - Bergantiños	3:0 ✺
31.01.26	Langreo - Bergantiños	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
19.10.25	Bergantiños - Burgos Promesas	4:2
25.03.23	Bergantiños - Burgos Promesas	0:2
06.11.22	Burgos Promesas - Bergantiños	0:4

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