Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 33

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday


	Valladolid B		Cayón

	1	X	2
	1.14	7	13
	1.16	7	13
	1.19	4.93	15.92
	1.19	4.94	15.92
	1.13	7	15.5
	1.13	7	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.36)	6.31 ↑ (4.58)	14.72 ↑ (7.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valladolid B
79.3%

Draw
14.5%

Cayón
6.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

20.2%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.1%

19.6%

11.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valladolid B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valladolid B's performance.

Cayón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cayón might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid B than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valladolid B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cayón than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cayón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Pozo M. ⚽,
17', 2 - 0, Arnuncio A. ⚽,
29', 3 - 0, Pozo M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
53', 3 - 1, Saez Humara M. ⚽,
53', 3 - 2, Saez Humara M. ⚽,
63', 4 - 2, Chuki ⚽,
76', 5 - 2, Fernandez D. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Cayón is Relegated to

Two teams are playing changeable.

Cayón could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Valladolid B is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Valladolid B won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valladolid B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
21.04.24	Langreo - Valladolid B	0:2 ✺
14.04.24	Zamora - Valladolid B	1:1 ✺
07.04.24	Valladolid B - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	3:1 ✺
30.03.24	RC Villalbes - Valladolid B	0:0 ✺
23.03.24	Valladolid B - Deportivo A Coruña B	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WTWTL
- CD Cayón
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
21.04.24	Cayón - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	RC Villalbes - Cayón	2:2 ✺
07.04.24	Cayón - Deportivo A Coruña B	3:2 ✺
30.03.24	Ourense CF - Cayón	1:0 ✺
24.03.24	Cayón - Compostela	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
17.12.23	Cayón - Valladolid B	3:2

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