Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 14

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday


	Valladolid B		Gimnástica de Torrelavega

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3
	2.18	3.1	3.15
	2.33	3.17	3.06
	2.28	3.13	3.03	Watch
	2.3	3.13	3.05
	2.18	3.1	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (1.75)	3.11 ↓ (3.25)	3.07 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valladolid B
40.8%

Draw
29.4%

Gimnástica de Torrelavega
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

27.4%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

25.9%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valladolid B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valladolid B's form might have worsened.

Gimnástica de Torrelavega has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gimnástica de Torrelavega's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid B than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valladolid B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástica de Torrelavega than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gimnástica de Torrelavega, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Valladolid B - Gimnástica de Torrelavega Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Primo ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
50', 0 - 2, Gandara M. ⚽,
60', 1 - 2, Verde A. ⚽,
71', 1 - 3, Santamaria A. ⚽,
85', 2 - 3, Neira S. ⚽,
90+10', 3 - 3, Delgado J. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Valladolid B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Valladolid B will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Valladolid B won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.8:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Valladolid B won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valladolid B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
23.11.24	Laredo - Valladolid B	0:1 ✺
16.11.24	Valladolid B - Salamanca	0:1 ✺
09.11.24	Llanera - Valladolid B	1:0 ✺
03.11.24	Valladolid B - Bergantiños	1:0 ✺
27.10.24	Coruxo - Valladolid B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLWT
- Gimnástica de Torrelavega
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
24.11.24	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Real Ávila	0:1 ✺
17.11.24	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Numancia	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Laredo - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	0:2 ✺
03.11.24	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Salamanca	1:2 ✺
26.10.24	Llanera - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.04.24	Valladolid B - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	3:1
26.11.23	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Valladolid B	0:1
26.02.23	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Valladolid B	0:0
08.10.22	Valladolid B - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	3:2

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