Match Info

MALTA: Challenge League - Promotion Group - Round 1

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)


	Valletta		Swieqi United

	1	X	2
	1.44	4	6.4	Watch
	1.42	4.22	5.89
	1.45	4.19	6.17	Watch
	1.51	3.96	5.99
	1.44	4	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 (1.45)	4.07 ↑ (3.75)	6.17 ↓ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valletta
62.8%

Draw
22.4%

Swieqi United
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

24.3%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

22.9%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valletta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Swieqi United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valletta than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swieqi United than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Valletta - Swieqi United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Aquilina T. (G) 11. Azzopardi J. 5. Cassar Z. 9. Ciolacu A. 16. Jeferson Carioca 28. MacKay S. 4. Micallef N. 2. Mushagalusa E. 10. Paiber B. (C) 25. Walker J. 8. Zammit A.	12. Debattista J. C. (C) 19. Brafo B. 8. Fenech P. 9. Katanic A. 7. Mattocks L. 21. Micallef M. 3. Morales J. 4. Muscat K. 10. Schembri Wismayer A. 18. Vella J. 80. Vella T.
Substitutes
23. Attard A. 17. Barbara Z. 21. Conti K. 15. Ewurum K. 13. Frendo L. (G) 14. Gauci C. 30. Lapira P. 18. Ohaka P. 33. Scicluna J.	96. Agius D. 22. Apap N. 15. Calleja D. 88. Deguara B. 26. Ellul Ruggier K. (G) 23. Gabriel V. 97. Hudson M. 77. Magri S. 14. Pisani N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Mushagalusa E. ⚽,
45+2', Morales J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', Morales J. ↓, Gabriel V. ↑,
64', Vella T. ↓, Pisani N. ↑,
82', Vella J. ↓, Agius D. ↑,
83', Zammit A. ↓, Scicluna J. ↑,
87', Walker J. ↓, Gauci C. ↑,
87', Mattocks L. ↓, Magri S. ↑,
90+2', Jeferson Carioca ↓, Ewurum K. ↑,
90+5', Ewurum K. 🟨,
90+7', Debattista J. C. 🟨,
90+7', 2 - 0, Ciolacu A. (Pen),

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group: )).

Valletta in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Swieqi United is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Valletta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

In this match Valletta is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Valletta to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Valletta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Including matches at home between the teams Valletta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valletta FC
Maltese Challenge League
09.02.25	Marsa - Valletta	0:1 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
05.02.25	Gżira United - Valletta	0:1 ET ✺
Maltese Challenge League
02.02.25	Mtarfa - Valletta	0:2 ✺
25.01.25	Valletta - Swieqi United	2:1 ✺
18.01.25	Pietà Hotspurs - Valletta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWWW
- Swieqi United
Maltese Challenge League
08.02.25	St. Andrews - Swieqi United	3:4 ✺
02.02.25	Swieqi United - Żebbuġ Rangers	3:2 ✺
25.01.25	Valletta - Swieqi United	2:1 ✺
18.01.25	Gudja United - Swieqi United	0:0 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
11.01.25	Hamrun Spartans - Swieqi United	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
25.01.25	Valletta - Swieqi United	2:1

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