The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Valmiera 25%
Draw 22.9%
Metta 52.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.3%
20.8%
53.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.9%
22%
57.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valmiera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Metta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valmiera than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metta than the current prediction. (+5%)
Valmiera - Metta Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
22', 1 - 0, Lopes G. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Klavinskis R. ⚽,
44', 1 - 2, Klavinskis R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 2 - 2, Kairmani F. ⚽,
68', Stepanovs V. 🟨,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Virsliga and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Virsliga (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valmiera won 4.
Valmiera has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Metta is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Valmiera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Metta is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valmiera won 14 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 44:15. (average 2.2:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Valmiera won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:4. (average 2.3:0.4).