Match Info

1. Liga - Round 17

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Futbols TV


	Valmiera		Mārupe

	1	X	2
	1.27	5.50	7.50
	1.23	5.15	8.40
	1.24	5.70	7.18
	1.25	6.05	7.87	Watch
	1.23	5.60	7.10
	1.30	5.61	7.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↑ (1.18)	5.6 ↓ (6.1)	7.62 ↓ (12.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valmiera
72%

Draw
16.1%

Mārupe
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77.7%

15%

7.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valmiera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valmiera's form might have worsened.

Mārupe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Valmiera - Mārupe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Kayramani F. (Penalty Awarded),
45', 2 - 0, Buss R. ⚽, Yamamura T. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 3 - 0, Kayramani F. ⚽,
80', 3 - 1, Avdejevs D. ⚽,
86', 4 - 1, Dembele M. ⚽, Yamamura T. (A),

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Virsliga and 6).

Valmiera is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mārupe has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mārupe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, Valmiera is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Valmiera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Valmiera	21	16	3	2	60:23	37	51
6	Marupe	21	9	2	10	34:32	2	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valmiera FK
Latvian 1 Liga
01.08.26	Valmiera - Rīgas FS 2	2:1 ✺
27.07.26	Valmiera - Riga 2	3:0 ✺
18.07.26	Skanstes - Valmiera	0:3 ✺
Latvian Cup
12.07.26	Valmiera - Ogre United	2:4 AET ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
05.07.26	Valmiera - Leevon PPK	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWLW
- Mārupes SC
Latvian 1 Liga Women
15.08.26	Mārupe - Super Nova 2	2:1 ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
01.08.26	Skanstes - Mārupe	4:2 ✺
18.07.26	Mārupe - Metta	0:4 ✺
Latvian Cup
12.07.26	Mārupe - Grobiņa	0:1 ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
04.07.26	Mārupe - Smiltene	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
18.04.26	Mārupe - Valmiera	2:3

Valmiera - Mārupe: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide