Match Info

Nakotnes liga - Round 13

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Futbols TV


	Skanstes		Valmiera

	1	X	2
	6.50	4.75	1.34
	6.30	4.95	1.34
	6.26	4.86	1.34
	6.34	4.86	1.37	Watch
	6.15	4.80	1.32
	7.39	4.80	1.32
	5.75	5	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.38 ↓ (7.23)	4.86 ↓ (5.08)	1.34 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skanstes
14.1%

Draw
18.5%

Valmiera
67.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.6%

17.9%

69.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.1%

17.2%

72.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skanstes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Valmiera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Skanstes than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valmiera than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valmiera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Skanstes - Valmiera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Lopes G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', 0 - 2, Lopes G. ⚽,
74', 0 - 3, Lopes G. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Virsliga (Promotion: )).

Recent form of Skanstes has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Valmiera is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Valmiera is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Skanstes won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Valmiera	21	16	3	2	60:23	37	51
7	Skanste	21	8	2	11	43:42	1	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Skanstes SK
Latvian 1 Liga
11.07.26	Skanstes - JFK Ventspils	0:3 ✺
04.07.26	Metta - Skanstes	3:1 ✺
28.06.26	Smiltene - Skanstes	2:4 ✺
14.06.26	Skanstes - Riga Mariners	0:2 ✺
Latvian Cup
30.05.26	Valmiera - Skanstes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWLL
- Valmiera FK
Latvian Cup
12.07.26	Valmiera - Ogre United	2:4 AET ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
05.07.26	Valmiera - Leevon PPK	4:1 ✺
28.06.26	JFK Ventspils - Valmiera	0:2 ✺
Latvian Cup
22.06.26	Smiltene - Valmiera	1:4 ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
14.06.26	Tukums 2000 2 - Valmiera	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Cup
30.05.26	Valmiera - Skanstes	2:0

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