Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 19 July 2023, Wednesday

Location: Jāņa Daliņa stadions (Valmiera)

Referee: Grado C. S. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Eleven Sports
Slovenia	SportKlub
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Valmiera		Olimpija Ljubljana

	1	X	2
	4	3.6	1.83	Watch
	4	3.5	1.78
	4.25	3.85	1.78
	4	3.6	1.88
	4.31	3.63	1.85
	4.2	3.5	1.67
	4.2	3.68	1.83	Watch
	4.1	3.8	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.13 ↓ (4.72)	3.65 ↓ (3.93)	1.81 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valmiera
22.6%

Draw
25.7%

Olimpija Ljubljana
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20%

24%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

23.5%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valmiera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Olimpija Ljubljana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valmiera than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpija Ljubljana than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olimpija Ljubljana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	16.7%	61.1%

Valmiera - Olimpija Ljubljana Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Valmiera will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Olimpija will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Olimpija: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Olses C. (G) 23. Tonisevs M. 2. Balodis D. (C) 3. Sliede N. 17. Fall P. 49. Kapic R. 6. Zhelizko I. 10. Jaunzems A. 22. Diop M. 75. Leo Gaucho 70. Mena C.	69. Vidovsek M. (G) 2. Silva J. 14. Ratnik M. 16. Muhamedbegovic A. 3. Sualehe D. 19. Seslar S. 34. Doffo A. 10. Elsnik T. M. (C) 99. Rui Pedro 9. Nukic M. 21. Posavec I.
Substitutes
27. Birka E. 8. Cudars K. 80. Diage V. 20. Ghanem A. 99. Kayramani F. 26. Lauva K. (G) 24. Ndoye A. 11. Penaloza Ragga J. S. 28. Pulis I. 9. Ruan Ribeiro 7. Silva G. 4. Veips R.	17. Bristric A. 11. Fadida S. 30. Florucz R. A. 33. Gavric N. 77. Jakupovic A. 6. Karamatic M. 43. Krefl A. 8. Lasickas J. 31. Mauricio Z. (G) 20. Motika N. 37. Pedro Lucas 22. Pintol D. (G)
Coaches
Kalns J.	Henriques J.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.

Recent matches Valmiera is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Olimpija is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Valmiera could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Olimpija is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Valmiera won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valmiera FK
Latvian Cup
15.07.23	Valmiera - Super Nova	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.07.23	Olimpija Ljubljana - Valmiera	2:1 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
07.07.23	Valmiera - Tukums 2000	6:0 ✺
03.07.23	Auda Riga - Valmiera	0:0 ✺
29.06.23	Valmiera - Liepāja	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWTT
- NK Olimpija Ljubljana
UEFA Champions League
11.07.23	Olimpija Ljubljana - Valmiera	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.07.23	Rudar Pljevlja - Olimpija Ljubljana	1:4 ✺
05.07.23	Primorje - Olimpija Ljubljana	2:4 ✺
02.07.23	Olimpija Ljubljana - Hajduk Split	1:0 ✺
27.06.23	Slovan Bratislava - Olimpija Ljubljana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
11.07.23	Olimpija Ljubljana - Valmiera	2:1

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