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Current Win Probability
Auda Riga 31.5%
Draw 27.8%
Valmiera 40.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.6%
26.5%
44.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.5%
26.4%
45.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Auda Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
Valmiera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auda Riga than the current prediction. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valmiera than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Auda Riga - Valmiera Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Zviedris K. (C) 2. Hrvoj T. 15. Ouedraogo M. 23. Korotkovs I. 49. Tavares B. 79. Kone I. 37. Bosancic P. 25. Taiwo A. 14. Saveljevs A. 10. Traore A. K. 70. Talla M.
12. Oss D. (G) 23. Tonisevs M. 17. Duke C. 34. Korobenko A. 27. Birka E. 10. Vapne L. 21. Penkevics K. 14. Varslavans R. 22. Diop M. 24. Ndoye A. 77. Porsan-Clemente J. (C)
Substitutes
24. Aleksandrovs N. (G) 77. Camara O. 6. Karklins K. 16. Lucas Ramos 17. Mane E. H. 5. Minkevics I. 22. Ogunji O. 11. Ogunniyi A. 71. Rubenis O.
29. Bahamboula J. 15. Cesnieks K. 19. Gueye D. 7. Gustavo 36. Kragliks R. 1. Olses C. (G) 41. Omori Y. 25. Rotar C.
Coaches
Zeljkovic Z.
Kalnins G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Varslavans R. ⚽, Porsan-Clemente J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Kone I. ↓, Ogunniyi A. ↑,
65', Penkevics K. 🟨,
68', Traore A. K. ↓, Mane E. H. ↑,
68', Ouedraogo M. ↓, Lucas Ramos ↑,
68', Diop M. ↓, Bahamboula J. ↑,
68', Porsan-Clemente J. ↓, Gueye D. ↑,
79', Tavares B. ↓, Camara O. ↑,
85', Varslavans R. ↓, Cesnieks K. ↑,
86', Duke C. ↓, Rotar C. ↑,
90+2', Bosancic P. 🟨,
90+4', Ndoye A. (Pen),
90+4', Birka E. 🟨,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Auda won 2.
Recent matches Auda is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Valmiera is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Auda won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-17.
Including matches at home between the teams Auda won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-9.