Match Info

LATVIA: 1. Liga - Round 23

Date: 18 October 2024, Friday

Location: Vidzemes Olimpiskais centrs (Valmiera)


	Valmiera 2		Riga 2

	1	X	2
	3.5	4.25	1.7
	4.55	4.2	1.51
	5.37	4.28	1.5	Watch
	5.27	4.2	1.49
	3.5	4.25	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.44 ↑ (3)	4.24 ↑ (3.6)	1.58 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valmiera 2
20.6%

Draw
21.6%

Riga 2
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

25%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

24.6%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valmiera 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valmiera 2's form might have worsened.

Riga 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Riga 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valmiera 2 than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valmiera 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riga 2 than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Riga 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Valmiera 2 - Riga 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Veisbuks D. (G) 18. Cepelevs D. 3. Kalnins E. 14. Kizili J. 2. Krasts R. (C) 33. Lucas Aruba 37. Mumu T. 17. Omori Y. 8. Rotar C. 16. Volkovs K. 11. Zauska R. K.	16. Matrevics R. (G) 13. Fedosejevs N. 17. Galajevs I. 15. Girgens F. 4. Janiss R. 9. Kostigovs V. (C) 7. Marchuk A. 11. Orosco B. 10. Pena B. 21. Poluhovics A. 5. Trifonovs R.
Substitutes
24. Buss R. 19. Dumins E. 34. Freilihs R. 1. Minuss R. (G) 25. Romanovs A. 15. Stupelis O. 4. Tkacenko A.	18. Arize D. 19. Laptiev O. 20. Mickevics T. 8. Parkhomenko M. 2. Pikar D. 14. Prudchenko N. 1. Semetovs R. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', Galajevs I. 🟨,
30', Volkovs K. 🟨,
33', Kizili J. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Pena B. ⚽, Orosco B. (A),
39', 1 - 1, Omori Y. ⚽,
42', Zauska R. K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Trifonovs R. ↓, Arize D. ↑,
47', 2 - 1, Lucas Aruba ⚽, Omori Y. (A),
55', Lucas Aruba ↓, Stupelis O. ↑,
55', Omori Y. ↓, Maurs-Boks E. ↑,
69', Girgens F. ↓, Prudchenko N. ↑,
71', 2 - 2, Orosco B. ⚽, Pena B. (A),
75', Galajevs I. ↓, Parkhomenko M. ↑,
75', Janiss R. 🟨,
83', Kizili J. ↓, Freilihs R. ↑,
89', Cepelevs D. ↓, Dumins E. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 4).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Riga 2 is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Valmiera 2 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:13 (average 1.4:2.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Valmiera 2 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valmiera FK 2
Latvian 1 Liga
05.10.24	Super Nova - Valmiera 2	4:1 ✺
29.09.24	Valmiera 2 - Ogre United	3:0 ✺
22.09.24	Mārupe - Valmiera 2	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Valmiera 2 - Smiltene	2:0 ✺
01.09.24	Olaine - Valmiera 2	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLWT
- Riga FC 2
Latvian 1 Liga
06.10.24	Riga 2 - JFK Ventspils	0:0 ✺
22.09.24	Riga 2 - Rīgas FS 2	1:1 ✺
16.09.24	Leevon PPK - Riga 2	1:4 ✺
30.08.24	JDFS Alberts - Riga 2	2:0 ✺
24.08.24	Skanstes - Riga 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
30.06.24	Riga 2 - Valmiera 2	2:1
03.09.23	Riga 2 - Valmiera 2	3:1
05.05.23	Valmiera 2 - Riga 2	1:3
14.10.22	Valmiera 2 - Riga 2	1:1
17.06.22	Riga 2 - Valmiera 2	4:3

Valmiera 2 - Riga 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide