Match Info

LATVIA: 1. Liga - Round 19

Date: 14 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Jāņa Daliņa stadions (Valmiera)


	Valmiera 2		Smiltene

	1	X	2
	1.25	5	9
	1.26	5.48	8.81
	1.24	5.55	9.1
	1.25	5	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.37)	5.26 ↑ (4.6)	8.98 ↑ (6.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valmiera 2
72.6%

Draw
17.3%

Smiltene
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

19.9%

13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3%

18.7%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valmiera 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valmiera 2's performance.

Smiltene has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valmiera 2 than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smiltene than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Valmiera 2 - Smiltene Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Veisbuks D. (G) 3. Kalnins E. 14. Kizili J. 2. Krasts R. 33. Lucas Aruba 17. Omori Y. 9. Pulis I. (C) 8. Rotar C. 15. Stupelis O. 16. Volkovs K. 11. Zauska R. K.	1. Mezulis T. (G) 19. Berzins A. 4. Bleikss R. 10. Bokta M. 21. Cipruss S. 17. Grosbergs K. (C) 28. Lapins J. 8. Libietis K. P. 3. Mikelsons M. 32. Sislakovs R. 88. Stipnieks E.
Substitutes
21. Blaubergs M. 24. Buss R. 18. Cepelevs D. 27. Kovacs K. 28. Maurs-Boks E. 12. Sakalis R. 4. Tkacenko A.	99. Eglitis E. (G) 18. Fjodorovs I. 16. Gaismins V. 5. Spalvins M. 11. Tomass E. 9. Zvirbulis K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Lucas Aruba ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Volkovs K. ↓, Maurs-Boks E. ↑,
46', Libietis K. P. ↓, Gaismins V. ↑,
49', Stipnieks E. 🟨,
53', Bokta M. 🟨,
54', Rotar C. ↓, Tkacenko A. ↑,
65', Bleikss R. ↓, Spalvins M. ↑,
68', 2 - 0, Pulis I. ⚽, Veisbuks D. (A),
69', Lucas Aruba ↓, Blaubergs M. ↑,
70', Stupelis O. 🟨,
78', Cipruss S. 🟨,
79', Lapins J. ↓, Tomass E. ↑,
79', Kizili J. ↓, Buss R. ↑,
79', Stupelis O. ↓, Cepelevs D. ↑,
81', Sislakovs R. 🟨,
85', Spalvins M. 🟨,
86', Grosbergs K. ↓, Fjodorovs I. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 12 in the zone 1. Liga (Relegation)).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match Valmiera 2 is certain favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Valmiera 2 won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Valmiera 2 won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valmiera FK 2
Latvian 1 Liga
01.09.24	Olaine - Valmiera 2	0:0 ✺
23.08.24	Valmiera 2 - Rēzekne	2:0 ✺
18.08.24	Valmiera 2 - JFK Ventspils	1:2 ✺
09.08.24	Tukums 2000 2 - Valmiera 2	4:1 ✺
03.08.24	Rīgas FS 2 - Valmiera 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TWLLL
- FK Smiltene BJSS
Latvian 1 Liga
31.08.24	Smiltene - JFK Ventspils	0:2 ✺
25.08.24	Tukums 2000 2 - Smiltene	1:2 ✺
17.08.24	Smiltene - Rīgas FS 2	0:3 ✺
11.08.24	Leevon PPK - Smiltene	2:2 ✺
03.08.24	Smiltene - JDFS Alberts	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
11.05.24	Smiltene - Valmiera 2	2:4
04.11.23	Smiltene - Valmiera 2	2:2
23.07.23	Valmiera 2 - Smiltene	0:0
10.09.22	Valmiera 2 - Smiltene	5:0
08.05.22	Smiltene - Valmiera 2	2:3

Valmiera 2 - Smiltene: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide